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Old 10-26-2023, 06:16 PM
  #7216  
DodoBrd
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Originally Posted by Diablo Dude
thx I knew you’d like it
Old 10-27-2023, 01:09 PM
  #7217  
cooler2442
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145 992 GT3's for sale on Autotrader right now. 320 total GT3's of all generations for sale. Seems like inventory is increasing for winter.
Old 10-27-2023, 05:08 PM
  #7218  
Diablo Dude
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Originally Posted by AlexCeres
+4.9% growth isn’t a recession
Yup.

Nice to see that half of that growth came from very robust consumer spending.
It rose at a 6.1% annual rate in the quarter. That's the fastest pace since Q2 of 2020.
Americans bought big-ticket items such as cars (+13.5%) and household equipment (+12.8%)


Old 10-27-2023, 07:08 PM
  #7219  
usctrojanGT3
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Originally Posted by Diablo Dude
Yup.

Nice to see that half of that growth came from very robust consumer spending.
It rose at a 6.1% annual rate in the quarter. That's the fastest pace since Q2 of 2020.
Americans bought big-ticket items such as cars (+13.5%) and household equipment (+12.8%)
All rear view stuff and let's see how long that consumer spending lasts all the while interest rates keep grinding higher. Consumer spending won't fall apart as long as you don't see a material increase in unemployment as spending is a hell of a drug even if you use credit to do it.
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Old 10-27-2023, 08:59 PM
  #7220  
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What’s the going ADM rate on a GT3?
Old 10-27-2023, 09:00 PM
  #7221  
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Originally Posted by gt4sf
What’s the going ADM rate on a GT3?
50k but production is about to end.
Old 10-30-2023, 05:00 PM
  #7222  
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Originally Posted by usctrojanGT3
All rear view stuff and let's see how long that consumer spending lasts all the while interest rates keep grinding higher. Consumer spending won't fall apart as long as you don't see a material increase in unemployment as spending is a hell of a drug even if you use credit to do it.
Clearly rising rates don't impact the consumer like they did once before, hence all of the strength.
Everybody and their brother (including corporate America) locked in very low fixed rates in the last rate cycle.
And the older age group "wealthier" crowd has been spending money on "experience" type spending like cruises, travel, dining, and entertainment.
Meanwhile, they are making 5.5% risk-free in treasury bills.

A surge in wealth has boosted most US households since 2020 and helped sustain economic growth | AP News


Old 10-30-2023, 05:42 PM
  #7223  
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Originally Posted by Diablo Dude
Clearly rising rates don't impact the consumer like they did once before, hence all of the strength.
Everybody and their brother (including corporate America) locked in very low fixed rates in the last rate cycle.
And the older age group "wealthier" crowd has been spending money on "experience" type spending like cruises, travel, dining, and entertainment.
Meanwhile, they are making 5.5% risk-free in treasury bills.

A surge in wealth has boosted most US households since 2020 and helped sustain economic growth | AP News
Agreed the savings and wealth building has cushioned against the rate hikes, the ones suffering the most like always are the folks at the lower end of the spectrum. Just like I tell my clients that inventory levels will drive home prices as will employment for consumer spending.
Old 10-30-2023, 06:04 PM
  #7224  
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Originally Posted by usctrojanGT3
All rear view stuff and let's see how long that consumer spending lasts all the while interest rates keep grinding higher. Consumer spending won't fall apart as long as you don't see a material increase in unemployment as spending is a hell of a drug even if you use credit to do it.
Consumers are spending but they're spending on credit. Credit balances at an all time high, delinquencies now higher than pre-pandemic, and subprime auto loans performance worst in recorded history. All of that against a backdrop of the highest rates in 15+ years.

Old 10-30-2023, 06:11 PM
  #7225  
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Originally Posted by maroli
Consumers are spending but they're spending on credit. Credit balances at an all time high, delinquencies now higher than pre-pandemic, and subprime auto loans performance worst in recorded history. All of that against a backdrop of the highest rates in 15+ years.
Like I said, spending is a hell of a drug. We'll see how long it lasts.
Old 10-30-2023, 07:28 PM
  #7226  
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Originally Posted by maroli
Consumers are spending but they're spending on credit. Credit balances at an all time high, delinquencies now higher than pre-pandemic, and subprime auto loans performance worst in recorded history. All of that against a backdrop of the highest rates in 15+ years.
Yes, that is all true as can be seen in the following link from the NY Fed.

Household Debt and Credit Report - FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of NEW YORK (newyorkfed.org)

But you're ignoring the other side of the balance sheet which has resulted in lower "financial fragility" for the U.S. consumer.
The median debt payments as a share of income fell to 13.4%, the lowest seen in the 33 year history of the Fed's survey of consumer finances.

How U.S. household net worth grew during the pandemic (axios.com)







Old 10-30-2023, 07:36 PM
  #7227  
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I'm reading a really good book called "Confessions of the Pricing Man: How Price Affects Everything" by Hermann Simon. Very insightful book, and perhaps the central idea is that the price people are willing to pay for something is based on its perceived value.

So I guess a lot of these Porsches are selling for well over MSRP because people perceive them to be worth the higher prices. A lot of factors influence how value is perceived and the perception can change over time. This may be a better way to look at it than simply demand vs supply.

I was driving my 992 TTS today and thinking "I know the profit margin is high on this thing, but this car is so damn good that I think it's worth the money!"

Last edited by Manifold; 10-30-2023 at 08:14 PM.
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Old 10-30-2023, 07:56 PM
  #7228  
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Originally Posted by Manifold
I'm reading a really good book called "Confessions of the Pricing Man: How Price Affects Everything" by Hermann Simon. Very insightful book, and perhaps the central idea is that the price people are willing to pay for something is based on its perceived value.

So I guess a lot of these Porsches are selling for well over MSRP because people perceive them to be worth the higher prices. A lot of factors influence how value is perceived and the perception can change over time. This may be a better way to look at it than simply demand vs supply.

I was driving my 992 TTS today and thinking "I know the profit margin is high on this thing, but this car I car is so damn good that I think it's worth the money!".
yeah, it’s also the reason why some people have an issue with paying a $20k ADM when the dealer marks it up, but totally fine when Porsche’s pricing team marks it up… they now ‘perceive’ it’s worth it
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Old 10-30-2023, 07:59 PM
  #7229  
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Originally Posted by Manifold
I'm reading a really good book called "Confessions of the Pricing Man: How Price Affects Everything" by Hermann Simon. Very insightful book, and perhaps the central idea is that the price people are willing to pay for something is based on its perceived value.

So I guess a lot of these Porsches are selling for well over MSRP because people perceive them to be worth the higher prices. A lot of factors influence how value is perceived and the perception can change over time. This may be a better way to look at it than simply demand vs supply.

I was driving my 992 TTS today and thinking "I know the profit margin is high on this thing, but this car I car is so damn good that I think it's worth the money!".
free on Audible, nice!

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Old 10-30-2023, 08:09 PM
  #7230  
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Originally Posted by WenigerAberBeser
yeah, it’s also the reason why some people have an issue with paying a $20k ADM when the dealer marks it up, but totally fine when Porsche’s pricing team marks it up… they now ‘perceive’ it’s worth it
I rather pay a higher MSRP and have it go to Porsche where it will be used to build cool cars in the future versus line of the pockets of a vampire stealers like AutoNation.
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