Upcoming Cayman GT4
#466
Rennlist Member
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I just don't see the logic of looking at any car as an investment (unless it's already a collectors car), or to try and guess depreciation values for new vehicles other than historical averages.
Porsches, in my opinion, are the greatest sports car the mass public can buy right now, but their older versions are experiencing a bubble in pricing. Top 1% hobbyists have excess capital due to a bull stock market and amazing amounts of liquidity being pumped in by the Fed - When the current asset bubble bursts, and it will, cool looking cars from the 80's and 90's that were mass produced, have inferior engines and are missing creature comforts compared to today will plummet even faster.
If you're fortunate enough to afford a 100k track car, like many here are, buy it thinking you're going to take a massive hit in value and enjoy every minute of it. If you think you're going to have the next gt3rs4.0, there's a strong probability you will be disappointed - then you're not only sad you made a bad investment but you never got to enjoy an amazing piece of technology because you were too scared to put miles on it - lose / lose.
Of course, I could be wrong and you could make a ton of money on the thing...but most likely I'm right ;-)
I apologize for typos, on my mobile waiting at the airport ☺
Porsches, in my opinion, are the greatest sports car the mass public can buy right now, but their older versions are experiencing a bubble in pricing. Top 1% hobbyists have excess capital due to a bull stock market and amazing amounts of liquidity being pumped in by the Fed - When the current asset bubble bursts, and it will, cool looking cars from the 80's and 90's that were mass produced, have inferior engines and are missing creature comforts compared to today will plummet even faster.
If you're fortunate enough to afford a 100k track car, like many here are, buy it thinking you're going to take a massive hit in value and enjoy every minute of it. If you think you're going to have the next gt3rs4.0, there's a strong probability you will be disappointed - then you're not only sad you made a bad investment but you never got to enjoy an amazing piece of technology because you were too scared to put miles on it - lose / lose.
Of course, I could be wrong and you could make a ton of money on the thing...but most likely I'm right ;-)
I apologize for typos, on my mobile waiting at the airport ☺
Last edited by Crazy Eddie; 02-10-2015 at 04:01 PM.
#467
Burning Brakes
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I don't think people are buying this car thinking its going to go up in value per se. But I would say that:
1) GT cars seem to offer more Porsche for the money
The power/weight ratio table listed earlier is a good example. Same also occurs with comparable specs; the GTS I almost ordered would have been about $2k less than my current GT4 spec. I don't think anyone would not pay the $2k surcharge to get a 3.8, LWBs, GT3 brakes, etc...
2) GT/special Porsches seem to hold their value better than most
Taking anomaly 4.0RS cars off the table, resale value of GT3s, Spyders, and Cayman Rs are higher percentages of their original selling price than a comparable 'regular' 911, Boxster, or Cayman. I'm sure this is due to a combination of lower supply and the fact that the enhancements tend to be on the bespoke/engineering side vs the luxury/technology side. Luxury and technology age quickly relative to quality engineering; think of the first dual clutch transmissions or a 10 year old Mercedes S class - not too desirable.
1) GT cars seem to offer more Porsche for the money
The power/weight ratio table listed earlier is a good example. Same also occurs with comparable specs; the GTS I almost ordered would have been about $2k less than my current GT4 spec. I don't think anyone would not pay the $2k surcharge to get a 3.8, LWBs, GT3 brakes, etc...
2) GT/special Porsches seem to hold their value better than most
Taking anomaly 4.0RS cars off the table, resale value of GT3s, Spyders, and Cayman Rs are higher percentages of their original selling price than a comparable 'regular' 911, Boxster, or Cayman. I'm sure this is due to a combination of lower supply and the fact that the enhancements tend to be on the bespoke/engineering side vs the luxury/technology side. Luxury and technology age quickly relative to quality engineering; think of the first dual clutch transmissions or a 10 year old Mercedes S class - not too desirable.
#468
Nordschleife Master
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Initially I thought the GT4 would be built starting as a late MY2015 for April/May deliveries in Europe. But according to Sonnen Porsche, the GT4 will debut in production form (at least for the US) as a MY2016 model:
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The question remains as to when the 981 will get the new turbo 4 cylinders motors instead of the current N/A engines? More than likely that will happen at the MY2017 face lift in mid-2016. If that is the case, we will have in MY2016 a N/A 3.8 engine on the 981 (GT4) and no N/A engine on the MY2016 face lifted base or S version of the 991!
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Saludos,
Eduardo
Carmel
#470
Nordschleife Master
Thread Starter
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Saludos,
Eduardo
Carmel
#471
Three Wheelin'
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Porsche might still produce that N/A 3.8 engine (6 cylinder) for the future .2 981 GT4 in MY2017 & beyond. Just as it's like to produce a version of the current 991 gt3 N/A engine in the .2 991 gt3 coming up (hopefully) as a MY2017! I think that we heard Andreas Preuninger hint at that in the course of his Evo GT4 interview! ![evilgrin](https://rennlist.com/forums/graemlins/evilgrin.gif)
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FWIW, I also was told by the dealer that the US GT4s would be MY16 and just 1 model year.
#472
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Hi Ed,
So I can wrap my feeble mind around this, are you defining MY 2016 981.1 GT4 as a production run of 600 cars and 981.2 with another 600 cars as a possible MY 2017? Thanks.
So I can wrap my feeble mind around this, are you defining MY 2016 981.1 GT4 as a production run of 600 cars and 981.2 with another 600 cars as a possible MY 2017? Thanks.
#473
Burning Brakes
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Yes...but most likely the run will end by May/June of 2016 in .1 981 form, not August. There is a very good chance that the .2 face lifted 981 (or 982) will be introduced in Geneva Auto show (March 2016) and start to be built as an early MY2017 in the Spring of 2016. The question then will be: 'Will there be a one year hiatus before we see the new .2 GT4?' Some folks expect that there will also be a one year gap, or pause, between the introduction of the .2 991 as a MY2016 in June 2015 and when the new .2 991 gt3 will appear (e.g. not until summer of 2016 as a MY2017). This mimics what happened to the gt3 & RS between .1 & .2 997 versions. There was no MY2009 of either gt3 or gt3 RS. The last .1 997 gt3 or RS was a MY2008 and the first .2 997 gt3 or RS was a MY2010.
Saludos,
Eduardo
Carmel
Saludos,
Eduardo
Carmel
If it retains an NA engine, then perhaps the 981.2 GT4 is the one to wait for. If it'll get a turbo engine, then it's 981.1 or bust (for me, anyway -- ymmv).
#474
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Any photoshop experts out there that can do the press car (sapphire blue metallic) with black wheels and black spoiler struts? I'm #4 in line at my dealer and need to spec my car, but the colors are so horrendously off on the online configurator that it isn't helpful at all.
Parker
Parker
#475
Three Wheelin'
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Thought will also post this here -
Some interesting figures from the German Porsche site:
911 GTS (manual):
80 - 120 km/h (49 - 74 mph) 5.9 secs in 5th gear
GT4:
80-120 km / h, 5th gear 5.5 s
I know GT4 is lighter, but I am guessing 911 has the shorter gearing.
So the question is, is it really making 385-400HP or is the figure 400+.
Some interesting figures from the German Porsche site:
911 GTS (manual):
80 - 120 km/h (49 - 74 mph) 5.9 secs in 5th gear
GT4:
80-120 km / h, 5th gear 5.5 s
I know GT4 is lighter, but I am guessing 911 has the shorter gearing.
So the question is, is it really making 385-400HP or is the figure 400+.
#476
Nordschleife Master
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Saludos,
Eduardo
Carmel
.
#477
Rennlist Member
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MB - oh yes sir they are indeed still holding it back on hardware - manual 6 speed only... right? Just less so than before... but definitely letting us have some more fun with the mid engine platform...
#478
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This is exactly why I'm so hot on this car. Granted, I agree with others that resale value should NEVER be a consideration when purchasing a brand new automobile, but there are exceptions to every rule: Look at Boxster Spyder owners: That car was $70k in 2011, and look to be worth $40-$50k with miles on them even now in the dead of winter. Show me another new vehicle in that price range that has held 65% of it's value after 4.5 years... That's $460 a month to drive one of the coolest cars on the market fully under warranty.
They are worth more than what they cost new, almost 4 years later they sell for $55k-$60k. Some low mileage examples selling for over $60k.
#479
#480
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I don't think we have official confirmation yet that only 600 cars (worldwide or US) will be produced. And in post .2 981 face lift, who knows how many they will build! But regardless, I don't see the GT4 as a limited edition one/two year-only offering. This model is aimed by Porsche Motorsports (who designed it in-house) as an integral part of its greater GT program and as a worthy competitor in amateur 'Club Racing' and perhaps even in professional competitive racing the world over! As such, it should NOT be thought as a one year or two year limited production vehicle! Think of it as something similar to the first 996 gt3 which evolved into the .1 997 gt3, then the .2 gt3 and finally into today's 991 gt3! I see it as a permanent new model...not a niche car like the Boxster Spyder or the Cayman R. It will be developed further, and nurtured into successful maturity, by the same clever folks that gave us the gt3...which is the most exciting model line of series production 911's since the 1973 Carrera RS era!
Saludos, Eduardo Carmel .
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All the dealer BS about limited production is sales strategy. And I don't blame them. I would have done the same. Think about the opposite. Just come in and buy when ever you want. We have a ton of gt4s sitting in the lot!
And the question about collectibility. The Gt4 will be a good car to own and drive but won't make you any money during its first twenty years. My good friend in Sweden that helps me to find cars just had a 996gt3MK1 sitting for 2 years with 1000miles on it and was asking less than MSRP! Just to give you an idea.
Eduardo, you are a great asset to this forum. Moderators, would it be possible to subscribe to specific users? Not only threads?