This is totally true, and one needn't have an Econ degree from Penn to know it. Just look back at everybody's favorite 911, which was followed by everybody's least favorite 911. I was a Porsche guy in 98 when 993 gave way to 996. Dislike of 996 was far from universal, but many of us old-schoolers were disappointed and instantly knew the 993 was a keeper. And yet still, it's value continued down. The depreciation curve continued downward on the 993 but at a shallower rate than 911s before and after, flattening out much earlier than other 911s, and beginning back upward much sooner than other 911s. But still, you could buy a sub-40k miles '95 993 C2 for $35,000 all day long in 2001/2002, and I saw plenty of cars on either side of $30,000 about that time.

GT4 enjoys the advantage of far fewer units built than 993, and GT car status. But on the flip side of the coin a) it's not a 911, and b) it's successor is likely to enjoy a much better reception than the 996 did. So I would expect a continued retreat of 981 GT4 prices but at a shallower curve than non-GT Porsche sportscars, followed by an earlier flattening and an earlier appreciation curve.

 

So keep driving the snot out of it? Got it.

Now, back to cracking Whoopsy's riddle...

 

Hells yeah! But that's true whether the price is about to go up, down or sideways.

 

I'll just keep enjoying the depreciation on mine for a while...

 

 

As with the 911 range (T, RS...) the GT4 option level will play greatly into it's depreciation. I do not see loaded PTS GT4's depreciating much at all. This is always a topic over here and the 911 "investment" market is starting to plummet.

If yours is well equipped (LWB, Leather, PCCB..etc) I think you'll be fine seeing as so many took mid-level options.

 

Not totally true as its also dependent upon the price of the new car. If its up 15% and if ADMs drive the market like the previous car (doubt it!), then the actual price of the new car at say $140k should lift the current car prices a bit. When I look at the GT4 market, I see a lot of cars that appear to not be in a rush to sell - so I don't see people looking to sell quickly. Youre assuming that the price of the new and older car are close - we do not know that.

In Canada I think that the new car is going to drive the current car prices HIGHER. The only GT4 you can buy in Canada for anywhere near list (still) is a high mileage one. Theyre all 15-25% premiums to list still, and theyre selling (slowly). Currency has moved such that that paying that premium for the Canadian car still makes sense versus buying a discounted one in the US.

 

781 GT4 and GT4CS share the exact same motor. No turbos.

 

We will see the 981.1 GT4 prices depreciate when the new 981.2 GT4 arrives.
It is the same thing that happens to all .1 GT cars when a .2 arrives.

 

Looks like Cayman T arrives before Cayman GT4

 

 

I don't think you are correct about it going up even with a very pricey 718. You are postulating that an unaffordable or unreachable 718GT4 will drive prices upwards on 981 GT4. Yet, right now, today, there is an unaffordable/unreachable 718 GT4, and 981 GT4 prices are what they are. In other words, the basis of your claim is that suddenly the 718 will not be within reach of a bunch of people, so they will all start fighting over 981s, whose supply is limited, so the increased demand will put upward pressure on 981 pricing. But like I said, we have that exact situation today: no affordable 718 GT4 alternative to the 981, so those upward market forces are in fact already in play. Anybody wanting a GT4 is in the 981 buyer pool. Waiting 18-24 months for a 718 to be launched, and then however many more months till they as individuals can get one? That's so far out that I'd posit they're not actual GT4 buyers at this time.

The effect a super pricey 718 would have is not to drive 981 prices above current levels, but merely to prop them up and keep them from falling as fast. Which I believe will be the case, and what I was writing about above. Whether a 718 is 10k more MSRP or 40k more, MSRP still will be at least 20k more than the common transaction price for a used 981, and if you add 10k ADM the gap is even greater. Which will serve to keep 981 pricing healthy and eventually to start it back up. But not during the first year of 718s being out there.

 

 

There have been rumors of a Cayman T for a while, something like the 911t, base engine + options - weight. Talk about threading the needle in the model lineup....

 

But nothing announced, right? I thought I might have missed an announcement or PAG confirmation.