GT3 992.2 Prices crashing? MSRP Coming?
Racer
Joined: Sep 2018
Posts: 452
Likes: 351
From: USA
You're right that production will taper. The 992.1 front-loaded heavily too, and the 7,000-9,000 projection assumes a sustained rate that historically doesn't hold. I'll concede that. But even if the 992.2 ends up at 5,500-6,000 NA units, that's still matching or exceeding the most mass-produced GT3 generation ever. The production floor keeps rising every generation — 991.2 did ~3,200 NA, 992.1 did 5,400, and the 992.2 is already at 3,150 in year one. The trend line is clear even if the final number comes in lower than the straight-line projection.
You're also right that lower ADMs pull in more buyers — that's basic economics and I'm not going to argue demand curves with you. But here's what that actually means: those buyers are price-sensitive. They're not the "pay anything" crowd from 2022. They're the guys who want a GT3 at $250-260K, not $300K+. That puts a ceiling on what the market will bear, not a floor. More buyers entering at lower price points doesn't support current pricing — it supports lower pricing.
On the CPO point — you're right, there isn't a 992.2 CPO at MSRP. But there are 36 CPO winged 992.2s and 23 CPO Tourings sitting right now, and those numbers are growing, not shrinking. Winged CPO is up 33% in two weeks. That's early 992.2 buyers already cycling out. Give it 6 months.
And for the record — I'm not window shopping from the sidelines. I own a GT4 RS and I've never paid an ADM. I track this data because I find the market dynamics interesting, not because I'm waiting to pull the trigger. But I get it — there's a lot of guys in this thread who paid $60-80K over sticker in 2022-2023 and need the "these cars will never come down" narrative to be true. That's not market analysis, that's copium. But continue the personal attacks. It makes my point more clear.
You're also right that lower ADMs pull in more buyers — that's basic economics and I'm not going to argue demand curves with you. But here's what that actually means: those buyers are price-sensitive. They're not the "pay anything" crowd from 2022. They're the guys who want a GT3 at $250-260K, not $300K+. That puts a ceiling on what the market will bear, not a floor. More buyers entering at lower price points doesn't support current pricing — it supports lower pricing.
On the CPO point — you're right, there isn't a 992.2 CPO at MSRP. But there are 36 CPO winged 992.2s and 23 CPO Tourings sitting right now, and those numbers are growing, not shrinking. Winged CPO is up 33% in two weeks. That's early 992.2 buyers already cycling out. Give it 6 months.
And for the record — I'm not window shopping from the sidelines. I own a GT4 RS and I've never paid an ADM. I track this data because I find the market dynamics interesting, not because I'm waiting to pull the trigger. But I get it — there's a lot of guys in this thread who paid $60-80K over sticker in 2022-2023 and need the "these cars will never come down" narrative to be true. That's not market analysis, that's copium. But continue the personal attacks. It makes my point more clear.
The ADM market for touring is still pretty strong fetching $50k-$65k. The market for wing cars has softened to $25-50k by most dealerships.
This thread is just inaccurate that “MSRP is coming” and the market is crashing. ADM has shifted slightly, and market has softened a little bit. However, Bring a Trailer sales are getting strong and we are heading back into car season. GT3 production is going to start tapering off with the new models coming to production, and I still think there is a large wave of buyers who would buy EVERY SINGLE CPO car listed on the market if there was a one day sale at MSRP, or even $20k ADM.
Sorry if you feel I personally attacked you, but you’re just coming off as being overly confident in your market analysis that almost no one on this forum agrees with you on. It was not necessary to call you a window shopper, I do apologize… nothing personal.
Last edited by OakGT3T; Feb 7, 2026 at 04:35 PM.
Rennlist Member
Joined: Jun 2025
Posts: 278
Likes: 181
From: Arizona
I’m sure everyone is aware that all the 992.2 GT cars on Porsche finder CPO are listed at $40k to $100k over sticker. Almost all of these, with the exception of a few, are extremely
generic nothing special cars (no PTS or EM, not upgraded interiors, etc) and even some are flat out terrible awkward builds. Yet they are still asking $40k to $100k over. They are moving (at what price no one knows) but yes there is more coming in than going out. Production is high front load and as others mentioned the .1 production was not linear. We are also at the time of year where the majority of the country can’t drive these beasts. I’m not surprised one single bit and I have no doubt that even if production kept high or even higher that US dealers will hold out forever before they offer a GT3 at sticker without a direct or indirect ADM. If word got out that it is the case then they have pretty much given up ADMs for a very very very long time because the market would then know and hold out for it. Even dumb watch or over priced add-ons will be the bottom (in my opinion barring anything super crazy).
Regardless of all the above about inventory, asking prices, production numbers, etc, we can simply look at the most recent GT3 winged 992.2 that has nothing special about it that went for $61k over (with the buyer fee) for a 500 mile generic winged 992.2. The build is “meh” at best and I wouldn’t even consider it at MSRP because it is just a such a boring blah build. There is a data point $61k over for a very boring generic not so good and absolutely not special build that closed today.
MSRP: $256k
Sell price: $310k + 7,500 buyer fee
Buyer’s over sticker: $61k (including buyer fee)
Build quality: Generic. Boring. Not special.
2026 GT3 “winged” with 500 miles
https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2026-porsche-911-gt3/
generic nothing special cars (no PTS or EM, not upgraded interiors, etc) and even some are flat out terrible awkward builds. Yet they are still asking $40k to $100k over. They are moving (at what price no one knows) but yes there is more coming in than going out. Production is high front load and as others mentioned the .1 production was not linear. We are also at the time of year where the majority of the country can’t drive these beasts. I’m not surprised one single bit and I have no doubt that even if production kept high or even higher that US dealers will hold out forever before they offer a GT3 at sticker without a direct or indirect ADM. If word got out that it is the case then they have pretty much given up ADMs for a very very very long time because the market would then know and hold out for it. Even dumb watch or over priced add-ons will be the bottom (in my opinion barring anything super crazy).
Regardless of all the above about inventory, asking prices, production numbers, etc, we can simply look at the most recent GT3 winged 992.2 that has nothing special about it that went for $61k over (with the buyer fee) for a 500 mile generic winged 992.2. The build is “meh” at best and I wouldn’t even consider it at MSRP because it is just a such a boring blah build. There is a data point $61k over for a very boring generic not so good and absolutely not special build that closed today.
MSRP: $256k
Sell price: $310k + 7,500 buyer fee
Buyer’s over sticker: $61k (including buyer fee)
Build quality: Generic. Boring. Not special.
2026 GT3 “winged” with 500 miles
https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2026-porsche-911-gt3/
Last edited by PWins; Feb 7, 2026 at 04:32 PM.
Rennlist Member
Joined: Feb 2014
Posts: 3,283
Likes: 428
From: Colorado Springs
Been watching this play out since 2014 when the 991.1 was new. There has always been someone predicting a strong pullback. Could be this time? Who knows. But, it is crazy that even with the significant (my 2022 would be about $80k more in 2026) price increases, there is still ADM. However, the car is still great, arguably the best in the world, and other ‘similar’ cars have also seen significant price increases.
Rennlist Member
Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 5,966
Likes: 914
I’m sure everyone is aware that all the 992.2 GT cars on Porsche finder CPO are listed at $40k to $100k over sticker. Almost all of these, with the exception of a few, are extremely
generic nothing special cars (no PTS or EM, not upgraded interiors, etc) and even some are flat out terrible awkward builds. Yet they are still asking $40k to $100k over. They are moving (at what price no one knows) but yes there is more coming in than going out. Production is high front load and as others mentioned the .1 production was not linear. We are also at the time of year where the majority of the country can’t drive these beasts. I’m not surprised one single bit and I have no doubt that even if production kept high or even higher that US dealers will hold out forever before they offer a GT3 at sticker without a direct or indirect ADM. If word got out that it is the case then they have pretty much given up ADMs for a very very very long time because the market would then know and hold out for it. Even dumb watch or over priced add-ons will be the bottom (in my opinion barring anything super crazy).
Regardless of all the above about inventory, asking prices, production numbers, etc, we can simply look at the most recent GT3 winged 992.2 that has nothing special about it that went for $61k over (with the buyer fee) for a 500 mile generic winged 992.2. The build is “meh” at best and I wouldn’t even consider it at MSRP because it is just a such a boring blah build. There is a data point $61k over for a very boring generic not so good and absolutely not special build that closed today.
MSRP: $256k
Sell price: $310k + 7,500 buyer fee
Buyer’s over sticker: $61k (including buyer fee)
Build quality: Generic. Boring. Not special.
2026 GT3 “winged” with 500 miles
https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2026-porsche-911-gt3/
generic nothing special cars (no PTS or EM, not upgraded interiors, etc) and even some are flat out terrible awkward builds. Yet they are still asking $40k to $100k over. They are moving (at what price no one knows) but yes there is more coming in than going out. Production is high front load and as others mentioned the .1 production was not linear. We are also at the time of year where the majority of the country can’t drive these beasts. I’m not surprised one single bit and I have no doubt that even if production kept high or even higher that US dealers will hold out forever before they offer a GT3 at sticker without a direct or indirect ADM. If word got out that it is the case then they have pretty much given up ADMs for a very very very long time because the market would then know and hold out for it. Even dumb watch or over priced add-ons will be the bottom (in my opinion barring anything super crazy).
Regardless of all the above about inventory, asking prices, production numbers, etc, we can simply look at the most recent GT3 winged 992.2 that has nothing special about it that went for $61k over (with the buyer fee) for a 500 mile generic winged 992.2. The build is “meh” at best and I wouldn’t even consider it at MSRP because it is just a such a boring blah build. There is a data point $61k over for a very boring generic not so good and absolutely not special build that closed today.
MSRP: $256k
Sell price: $310k + 7,500 buyer fee
Buyer’s over sticker: $61k (including buyer fee)
Build quality: Generic. Boring. Not special.
2026 GT3 “winged” with 500 miles
https://bringatrailer.com/listing/2026-porsche-911-gt3/
Rennlist Member
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,175
Likes: 510
From: Connecticut
I don't have a GT3, but have many other Porsches. It seems like all of them are up a ton since 2022. Even the Porsches I don't own are.
You'd look like a genius if you bought a 964 for 35k in 2022 and it was 90k now. True, the GT3 is no Taycan, but it is one of many models that have gone up a ton in the past few years,
Seems like every forum on Rennlist has the same dynamic. Look at the 944, 964, CGT, etc. forums. They all sound the same.
You'd look like a genius if you bought a 964 for 35k in 2022 and it was 90k now. True, the GT3 is no Taycan, but it is one of many models that have gone up a ton in the past few years,
Seems like every forum on Rennlist has the same dynamic. Look at the 944, 964, CGT, etc. forums. They all sound the same.
Rennlist Member
Joined: Nov 2024
Posts: 146
Likes: 103
From: Maryland
What most of you guys are knowing very well but forgetting is that $160k of 2018 is now at least $350k of today. My comparison is not adm or gt3 msrp, i know what kind of dinner i had in 2018 with 160 bucks and its almost same what $350 gets me today. So whatever the adms and production numbers are, its very normal for a gt3 go to around 300k to 400k based on options, buyer and seller today. Markets always go down, and eventually go up again. Governments always create inflation and play their game.
those complaining about gt3 prices, dont you go shop at walmart ever?
those complaining about gt3 prices, dont you go shop at walmart ever?
Last edited by avantgarde34; Feb 7, 2026 at 09:15 PM.
Drifting
Joined: Jan 2020
Posts: 2,884
Likes: 1,658
Nordschleife Master
Joined: Jun 2018
Posts: 5,884
Likes: 7,715
From: Ohio
Inflation this, inflation that.
Reminds me during Covid, Covid was the answer for everyone charging more.
Not everything costs more dollars because of inflation. Sometimes you need a fourth super car and just want to charge more because you can. Everyone from the grocery bagger to the cardiologist believes they’re worth more than they’re getting paid.
I don’t even understand the point of those inflation calculators. Why do we even accept 2% inflation a year?
Reminds me during Covid, Covid was the answer for everyone charging more.
Not everything costs more dollars because of inflation. Sometimes you need a fourth super car and just want to charge more because you can. Everyone from the grocery bagger to the cardiologist believes they’re worth more than they’re getting paid.
I don’t even understand the point of those inflation calculators. Why do we even accept 2% inflation a year?
Three Wheelin'
Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 1,514
Likes: 1,083
From: Washington State
I'm not sure if people here don't understand inflation or don't believe it? The inflation calculators are using the data from the Bureau of Labor and Statistics which tracks inflation. There's CPI and PPI which separates Consumer and Producer inflation. Inflation is an aggregate number across many different things: food, energy, etc... so not everything increased by the same amount. Inflation calculators simply show your buying power in dollars comparing across periods taking into account inflation. I'm old enough to remember when you could use quarters to buy a can of soda and now it's more like $1. As for 2% inflation, that's the US goal to drive consumption and production. Basically, if your buying power decreases annually at the target 2% then you're more likely to spend it than to hoard it since it's worth less (in buying power) over time.
Race Car
Joined: Oct 2002
Posts: 3,647
Likes: 1,081
It's pretty much standard in commercial real estate leases for 3% increases per year. Either that or a 10% increase in the last half of a 10 year agreement. Just about every product or service bought will increase as inflation is baked into every lease.
Instructor
Joined: Mar 2023
Posts: 175
Likes: 225
I will say I think CPI underrates inflation but no, the value of money has not halved since 2018, that is a ludicrous suggestion
Rennlist Member
Joined: Oct 2013
Posts: 6,906
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From: Florida
Rennlist Member
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,175
Likes: 510
From: Connecticut
Regardless of what inflation is, it is an average, and many things go up a lot more than average, and many things less. Even with used Porsches, a 2020 base Carrera has not done as well as a 2003 996 over the past 5 years. The 996 probably has done even better than a GT3. I don't thnik the GT3 is an outlier. It just seems above average, but not unusual when judged against a large group of other Porsche models/years.