Notices
Taycan 2019-Current The Electric Porsche
Sponsored by:
Sponsored by:

Tesla existential threat?

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old Sep 22, 2020 | 03:31 PM
  #3706  
daveo4porsche's Avatar
daveo4porsche
Nordschleife Master
10 Year Member
 
Joined: Jun 2011
Posts: 6,491
Likes: 4,887
From: Santa Cruz, CA
Default

Tesla's Full Self Driving is a joke and a lie
Tesla's auto-pilot is the best incarnation of this technology available in production if used properly

the Model 3 for 60k or less is best mid-sized sedan on the market.
Reply
Old Sep 22, 2020 | 05:49 PM
  #3707  
Whoopsy's Avatar
Whoopsy
Rennlist Member
15 Year Member
 
Joined: Aug 2006
Posts: 3,078
Likes: 1,516
From: Vancouver, BC
Default

Originally Posted by Needsdecaf
I think much of the brouhaha about the price was Porsche's bait and switch. They had always maintained a price point "between the Cayenne and the Panamera". Well that landed right on top of the Panamera. And they priced it all the way up to the Turbo S level to boot. Personally I don't think the Taycan holds up well as a $200k car in the same way a GT3 RS does. I think if the 4S had started where they had said and the top of the line was a Turbo priced close to the Panamera Turbo, it'd be a lot more palatable. The second hysteria was about the range but thankfully that proved to be a bit of much ado about nothing.

As for the driving, you've got way more seat time than I do so I'll certainly not doubt what you say. My back to back driving with my 911 (literally got out of one into the other and back) left me with a different impression.

Of course, our roads around Houston are an enthusiast's purgatory nightmare, lol.
Not sure about the bait and switch part. A Taycan and Panamera with equivalent options means the Taycan is a few thousands if not tens of thousands less. On my initial spec, the Taycan turbo S came out to be $40kCAD less than my Panamera turbo S, which clocks in at $275kCAD.

But I don't see any value in buying the Taycan turbo S. All 3 trims basically look the same on the outside and the inside, whatever is offered on the turbo S trim wise can be optioned on a 4S.

Heck I didn't even order a car, I just pluck one off the showroom. Already have the Panamera so didn't need another sedan, this car is my extended test drive until the Taycan Cross Turismo. Which, by all accounts I would order in the 4S trim, don't even need turbo trim.

Reply
Old Sep 23, 2020 | 12:41 AM
  #3708  
Lorenfb's Avatar
Lorenfb
Race Car
20 Year Member
 
Joined: May 2003
Posts: 4,224
Likes: 102
From: SoCal
Default

Elon Musk's Tesla Battery Day Reveal Event - Totally Booooring!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pwBiBpzIBdU

Elon - Promises, promises, and more promises!

Last edited by Lorenfb; Sep 23, 2020 at 07:41 AM.
Reply
Old Sep 23, 2020 | 11:17 AM
  #3709  
freqflyer's Avatar
freqflyer
Instructor
 
Joined: Sep 2019
Posts: 128
Likes: 34
From: Austin,Texas
Default

No, what was boring was last year's Full Self Driving show. At least this year gave a glimpse of a new gen Model S coming. Why else talk about new production techniques, new batteries, show a prototype Plaid in present body and then give less to two minutes to it, unless you did not want to tank present Model S sales. He did the same when the Y debuted. Elon stated he toned the show down so as not to tank 3 sales.
Reply
Old Sep 23, 2020 | 12:11 PM
  #3710  
unclewill's Avatar
unclewill
Racer
 
Joined: Nov 2017
Posts: 279
Likes: 76
Default

Tesla Model S Plaid is online to order. 60 mph in under 2s. 200 mph top. $155k fully loaded. 520mi range. Supercharging and FSD included.
Porsche better come up with something soon ‘cause the Americans are getting ready to hand them their asses...
Reply
Old Sep 23, 2020 | 12:23 PM
  #3711  
manitou202's Avatar
manitou202
Burning Brakes
10 Year Member
 
Joined: Aug 2014
Posts: 1,051
Likes: 423
From: Manitou Springs, CO
Default

The ID.4 seems really competitive. Destroys the Bolt and Leaf. Only EV that competes is the Model Y, but this starts $10k less plus will qualify for the $7500 tax credit. That's pretty huge.

https://www.theverge.com/2020/9/23/2...ce-range-specs

Reply
Old Sep 23, 2020 | 01:24 PM
  #3712  
Lorenfb's Avatar
Lorenfb
Race Car
20 Year Member
 
Joined: May 2003
Posts: 4,224
Likes: 102
From: SoCal
Default

Tesla suffers complete network outage, internal systems and connectivity features down
Breaking: Tesla is currently having a complete network outage. Internal systems are down according to sources.
On the customer side, I can't connect to any of my cars and website is not working.
https://electrek.co/2020/09/23/tesla...features-down/

Too much technology and integration with Tesla systems and reliance on it?
Reply
Old Sep 23, 2020 | 01:30 PM
  #3713  
Lorenfb's Avatar
Lorenfb
Race Car
20 Year Member
 
Joined: May 2003
Posts: 4,224
Likes: 102
From: SoCal
Default

Originally Posted by freqflyer
No, what was boring was last year's Full Self Driving show. At least this year gave a glimpse of a new gen Model S coming. Why else talk about new production techniques, new batteries, show a prototype Plaid in present body and then give less to two minutes to it, unless you did not want to tank present Model S sales. He did the same when the Y debuted. Elon stated he toned the show down so as not to tank 3 sales.
Right! Today's TSLA price doesn't agree. Elon always has an after-the-fact excuse.
Reply
Old Sep 24, 2020 | 09:19 PM
  #3714  
Lorenfb's Avatar
Lorenfb
Race Car
20 Year Member
 
Joined: May 2003
Posts: 4,224
Likes: 102
From: SoCal
Default

Tesla Model S-Plaid at Laguna Seca does a few laps (~ 1,30), hoping to find a Taycan while "cooking" the battery and bottoming out.




Last edited by Lorenfb; Sep 24, 2020 at 09:23 PM.
Reply
Old Sep 24, 2020 | 10:18 PM
  #3715  
Petevb's Avatar
Petevb
Rennlist Member
 
Joined: Oct 2003
Posts: 3,728
Likes: 700
Default

Originally Posted by Lorenfb
Right! Today's TSLA price doesn't agree. Elon always has an after-the-fact excuse.
Haters gonna hate...

Stepping back it's interesting what's played out since some of the earlier comments on this thread. Despite the recent stock price drop Tesla's stock has still grown at a 250% annual rate since this comment from October 2018, for example:
Originally Posted by Lorenfb
Bottom Line: Tesla needs the volume of a $35K M3 to survive, i.e. economy of scale to profitably produce ALL models, but at $35K the M3 now or in the near future won't be profitable.
There's a limited M3 market at $45K+, which won't sustain the needed profitability.
Seems they've done ok since then.

I still think their stock price is nuts, but they now have a market cap greater than all the German car companies put together.... And at one point were approaching that of all other automotive companies put together period. In spite of (or perhaps in part because of?) the hate.

The bubble's gotta pop sometime, but for now I think we've answered the original question: no, the Taycan did not represent an existential threat to Tesla. If anything it's proving to be the opposite: Telsa and the era it has ushered in are actually the existential threat to more than one legacy manufacture who failed to react early enough.
Reply
Old Sep 24, 2020 | 11:33 PM
  #3716  
Lorenfb's Avatar
Lorenfb
Race Car
20 Year Member
 
Joined: May 2003
Posts: 4,224
Likes: 102
From: SoCal
Default

Originally Posted by Petevb
Haters gonna hate...

Stepping back it's interesting what's played out since some of the earlier comments on this thread. Despite the recent stock price drop Tesla's stock has still grown at a 250% annual rate since this comment from October 2018, for example:

Seems they've done ok since then.
But their growth rate seems to be flattening, as will likely be exemplified by the Q3 numbers next week.

Originally Posted by Petevb
I still think their stock price is nuts, but they now have a market cap greater than all the German car companies put together.... And at one point were approaching that of all other automotive companies put together period. In spite of (or perhaps in part because of?) the hate.
But nowhere near, in some cases orders of magnitude, any of the units/dollars in sales of any major automotive company.
Originally Posted by Petevb
The bubble's gotta pop sometime, but for now I think we've answered the original question: no, the Taycan did not represent an existential threat to Tesla. If anything it's proving to be the opposite: Telsa and the era it has ushered in are actually the existential threat to more than one legacy manufacture who failed to react early enough.
Remember this?
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/dotcom-bubble.asp

Most rational thought never considered the Taycan as an existential threat to Tesla.




Reply
Old Sep 25, 2020 | 10:54 AM
  #3717  
Pokerhobo's Avatar
Pokerhobo
Three Wheelin'
10 Year Member
 
Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 1,570
Likes: 1,173
From: Washington State
Default

Originally Posted by Lorenfb
But their growth rate seems to be flattening, as will likely be exemplified by the Q3 numbers next week.
You say it's "flattening", but Tesla has been the only auto company showing growth during a pandemic and when their main factory was closed for a long time. I expect Q3 to set a new record for deliveries. Expectation is Tesla shows a 30-40% growth in deliveries compared to 2019.
Reply
Old Sep 25, 2020 | 01:28 PM
  #3718  
sgt1372's Avatar
sgt1372
Pro
5 Year Member
 
Joined: Sep 2019
Posts: 560
Likes: 147
From: San Francisco Bay Area
Default

Originally Posted by daveo4porsche
Tesla's Full Self Driving is a joke and a lie
Tesla's auto-pilot is the best incarnation of this technology available in production if used properly

the Model 3 for 60k or less is best mid-sized sedan on the market.
IMO, only a complete idiot would rely on electronics to control a vehicle and some Tesla owners who have done so have already paid for this mistake w/their lives.
Reply
Old Sep 26, 2020 | 10:09 AM
  #3719  
Lorenfb's Avatar
Lorenfb
Race Car
20 Year Member
 
Joined: May 2003
Posts: 4,224
Likes: 102
From: SoCal
Default

Originally Posted by Pokerhobo
You say it's "flattening", but Tesla has been the only auto company showing growth during a pandemic and when their main factory was closed for a long time. I expect Q3 to set a new record for deliveries. Expectation is Tesla shows a 30-40% growth in deliveries compared to 2019.
Here's the target:



https://ir.tesla.com/press-release/t...ion-deliveries
Reply
Old Sep 26, 2020 | 11:22 AM
  #3720  
Pokerhobo's Avatar
Pokerhobo
Three Wheelin'
10 Year Member
 
Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 1,570
Likes: 1,173
From: Washington State
Default

That's 2019...
Reply



All times are GMT -3. The time now is 03:41 AM.