Notices
993 Forum 1995-1998

Bruce Anderson

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 07-19-2007, 02:14 PM
  #31  
stubenhocker
Racer
 
stubenhocker's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 499
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Default

Originally Posted by DaveM993
I disagree - speculation infers that it is being looked at as an investment, I do not believe this to be the case for the 993. The demand for the 993 has increased because of its desirability relative to its brethren...IMHO. The values of the early 996s are going down as a result. I do not believe this will change especially since the 997 takes many of its external design cues from the 993 and not the 996. Someday the uniqueness of the 996 look may become desirable as the only 911 without round headlights...but that, of course is pure speculation.
I agree with you re 996, but how many times do you hear 993 buyers rationalize, well these cars are only going to get more valuable over time? They are not doing it primarily as an investment, but it is a factor in current pricing.
Old 07-19-2007, 02:21 PM
  #32  
GaryB
Instructor
 
GaryB's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Friday Harbor, WA
Posts: 124
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Default

As an avid 993 shopper I'm collecting as much info as I can about pricing and availabilty.

Those who may think Bruce Anderson's numbers are a bit low might be interested in the Porsche Market Letter. Google the web site for more info.

I just received the July issue which covers the late 911s. For instance, a '97 C4S is listed with a median price of $51,412.

Gary B. in Friday Harbor
Old 07-19-2007, 02:35 PM
  #33  
AShearer
Instructor
 
AShearer's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Alexandria, VA
Posts: 125
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by GaryB
As an avid 993 shopper I'm collecting as much info as I can about pricing and availabilty.

Those who may think Bruce Anderson's numbers are a bit low might be interested in the Porsche Market Letter. Google the web site for more info.

I just received the July issue which covers the late 911s. For instance, a '97 C4S is listed with a median price of $51,412.

Gary B. in Friday Harbor
This is great information. Thank you.
Old 07-19-2007, 02:40 PM
  #34  
pcar964
Addict
Lifetime Rennlist
Member
 
pcar964's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 5,225
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Default

ok, I'm putting "ignoramus" back on the table. Anyone who still totes the line "Buy the newest Porsche you can afford" is an ignoramus.
Old 07-19-2007, 02:43 PM
  #35  
cgfen
Rennlist Member
 
cgfen's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Vista CA
Posts: 7,685
Received 866 Likes on 571 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by DaveM993
Falcon - you are exactly the type of person he and Excellence need to hear from...
_________________________________________________________________

this is a copy of a letter i mailed to Bruce C/O Excellence.
To my knowledge, i never got a reply.

Mr. Anderson,

Greetings.
Let me preface this by saying that my Porsche experience is limited to a bit of playing in a friends 911 in the mid 80’s and more recently my wife’s very positive experience of ordering and buying her Cayman S. Since she was so kind as to do this for us, my eyes have been opened to the world of Porsche. I thought that I had put “interesting cars” behind me decades ago since I was racing bicycles and driving either full size vans of Subaru wagons……………
Not so, because for the past 5 months I’ve been a bit obsessive about reading / researching / driving different P cars.

I’ve narrowed down my hunt to 96 or 97 993 NB coupe. I’ve read your interesting bits in Excellence ( I just spoke to Abby and subscribed and ordered a copy of TN 2 ) and would like to ask a question regarding market updates. I know that this is probably a touchy area, but in my 5 months of searching, 993 prices ( asking ) are seemingly 15 – 20% higher than those listed in the market update. Can you help me understand why? I would assume that;
1. not knowing actual selling prices.
2. 993 owners looking at their cars values through “rose-colored-glasses”
3. my mainly shopping for low miles, 30 – 50k examples
4. geographic differences ( I live in San Diego, but am shopping country wide ).
5. Excellence possibly using too small a sample data set
6. dealer vs private owner pricing

all contribute to this perception for me. Have I missed anything?
Do you have actual buyers writing you and describing the purchase? In my short experience I’ve never seen a Reader Sales Report where you say, Whoa, this person paid X dollars over our range, he / she got ripped off. Do people not provide you with this potentially embarrassing info, or do you not choose to print them?

I know, I know, so many questions from someone you don’t know. I’d appreciate a response if you have the time. If like me, you’d prefer to talk rather than type, feel free to ring me up on my mobile.
If you do, please let me know when is a good time to ring you back. I often travel on biz and may not be able to take your call immediately.

Best regards


Craig Fenstermaker
Old 07-19-2007, 02:44 PM
  #36  
RallyJon
Weathergirl
Rennlist Member
 
RallyJon's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: SE PA
Posts: 4,895
Received 16 Likes on 14 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by TomF
Wow, give the guy a break. This is not directed at anyone in particular, but the tone of this thread is not in the spirit of the Rennlist community.

I too attended his and Jerry's engine overhaul class and found him to be an amazing wealth of information about Porsches. He is a stand-up guy who has answered many, many of my questions over more than 20 years. His opinion in Excellence is just that- his opinion. Take it or leave it. I for one do not agree with his valuations, but I greatly value his historical perspective and his technical knowledge of the earlier cars.

It is one thing to disagree with his opinions, it is another to disparage a guy who has shared a wealth of information with the Porsche world.

If you are so enamored (or concerned) with values, you shouldn't own a 993, let alone a Porsche.

I'll get off my soapbox now.
I'm on the wrong coast to have seen him in person, but my cynicism started with 911 Performance Handbook. Before I owned a Porsche, I read it word by word and thought it was the greatest thing ever. Once I got my first Porsche and started to modify and troubleshoot, it became apparent to me just how shallow and inaccurate the book was. Drove me nuts--I felt betrayed. When the second edition came out, I ordered it immediately, figuring all the mistakes and half-assed chapters would be fixed and expanded. Nope.

You think of someone as a guru and profound repository of knowledge, then you realize a decent percentage of what he puts to paper is inaccurate, poorly researched, incomplete, or (in the case of prices) pure, demonstrable bs. Or maybe something he thought was true 30 years ago.

The tech articles he writes for Excellence could often be answered more completely and accurately with a 3 min search here or on Pelican.

Sorry, the shine is off. Glad he's better in person.
Old 07-19-2007, 02:45 PM
  #37  
AShearer
Instructor
 
AShearer's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Alexandria, VA
Posts: 125
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by RallyJon
I have to ask: WHERE IS THE DATA COMING FROM? Does Blue Book just make up numbers? I thought they had hard research data? Maybe everyone who buys a C2S lowballs the reported transaction price to save tax?

This is a great question. I wonder the same thing. Clearly, the market prices are higher. Maybe it's the state registrations?

It's obvious there is no source to buy a 993 at the kind of prices quoted. There are so few of them. That, or course is one BIG reason the prices are so high. Supply and demand. Each individual rationalizes their purchase in their own way, but what ultimately drives the price is supply and demand. I just did a tremendous amount of research and ended up paying $56K for a 17K mile C4S that looks like new. There is no way to "rationalize" that. It's what I wanted, it was as good a deal as I could find. The mileage and condition were more important to me than price. After a couple grand for new tires and some really serious service, (read: NOT repairs) , I have a 97 car that for all purposes is like a new car.

It might appreciate, it might hold steady, it might depreciate. I don't know. Don't have a way to measure the "desire" factor going forward.

Here's an interesting thought? When the time comes that you can buy a 997 with reasonable miles for the same price as a 993, will that change things? There are a lot of them out there.
Old 07-19-2007, 02:48 PM
  #38  
jimhsu
Burning Brakes
 
jimhsu's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: The best corner of the USA
Posts: 956
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Default

Originally Posted by pcar964
ok, I'm putting "ignoramus" back on the table. Anyone who still totes the line "Buy the newest Porsche you can afford" is an ignoramus.
that may be the case for those who don't care and just want in to the Prosche fraternity, but there is so much difference between the older 993 and the newer 996 and 997 for example that it just does not apply.

And it's not just aircool vs watercool; some may love the 911SC over the 993, for something specific to the SC; in that case that buyer should get the newest 911SC he can afford.
Old 07-19-2007, 02:50 PM
  #39  
jimhsu
Burning Brakes
 
jimhsu's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: The best corner of the USA
Posts: 956
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Default

I do think that the prices we see are almost all ASKING prices, and are usually lowered a bit by the time the car sells; but Bruce Anderson's prices are ridiculously low I wish he would tell me where he's finding his excellent 993s for the prices he's quoting.
Old 07-19-2007, 02:55 PM
  #40  
Davies
Burning Brakes
 
Davies's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Wilton, CT
Posts: 921
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Falcondrivr
I wasn't going to mention it, but in the current issue's 986-996 section, he says we are in a down economy. I guess he never took economics either.
While I agree that Bruce's numbers re: 993s are absurd, I think the above statement is a tad unfair.
I know most of us here probably aren't personally in a down economy, but on a macro level, median wages have slipped almost 2% (first time since WW2) when factoring in inflation.

Sure the stock market's booming and unemployment is low, but the US economy isn't considered "up" or "down" without also factoring in median (not average) wage growth vs. inflation.
Old 07-19-2007, 02:59 PM
  #41  
RallyJon
Weathergirl
Rennlist Member
 
RallyJon's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: SE PA
Posts: 4,895
Received 16 Likes on 14 Posts
Default

but on a macro level, median wages have slipped almost 2%
Within the used 986/996 target market? I know for a fact that the key Boxster market of $60-90k a year engineers has been doing quite well. Serious wage increases among production level knowledge workers. I assume their project managers (who might be in the market for a used 996) are doing OK too.

Again, if someone's going to write something like that, they should check it for accuracy and support it.
Old 07-19-2007, 03:21 PM
  #42  
DaveM993
Drifting
 
DaveM993's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: ..."RECALCULATING"
Posts: 3,496
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by stubenhocker
I agree with you re 996, but how many times do you hear 993 buyers rationalize, well these cars are only going to get more valuable over time? They are not doing it primarily as an investment, but it is a factor in current pricing.
Actually I have never heard someone say that to me. What I have heard as a rationalization is that they will depreciate less...which based on the current data is true. Again, I don't know of anyone who seriously buys a 993 as an investment that will appreciate in value...so I do not think that "speculation" is a factor in the current 993 values.

Although "ignoramus" is definitely inappropriate, I have to agree that if you are going to put yourself out there as the "expert" (and in some areas he certainly is), anything that is published commercially as a "expert advice or opinion" is worthy of close scrutiny and challenge. The problem with the numbers is they are not even close...and that should be of concern to Excellence.
Old 07-19-2007, 03:23 PM
  #43  
dcdude
Drifting
 
dcdude's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: South Bay, Los Angeles
Posts: 2,733
Likes: 0
Received 3 Likes on 3 Posts
Default

Re: Manipulation of information by insurance companies, that's another great reason to have a collector policy for an "agreed value" which YOU get to stipulate.

Admittedly, there are mileage/usage restictions, but is there any reason why you can't ALSO have coverage by Geico or Progressive or whomever that actually let's you DRIVE the car? I guess we all need to go read the fine print on our policies (great sleep aid). With the collector policy only running $300 - $800, the combination may not be too expensive for some...
Old 07-19-2007, 03:26 PM
  #44  
Davies
Burning Brakes
 
Davies's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Wilton, CT
Posts: 921
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

RallyJon...I concede that you're right there. While Mr Anderson was technically correct about "The Economy," that probably has very little bearing on the economies of those who are in the market for a Porsche.
Old 07-19-2007, 03:33 PM
  #45  
porsche fever
Intermediate
 
porsche fever's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 30
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Default

until he gets realistic on prices I will not subscribe to the mag. I use to keep old copies for reference but with this web site, not needed!


Quick Reply: Bruce Anderson



All times are GMT -3. The time now is 10:44 AM.