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Old 07-25-2024, 11:15 AM
  #16  
torfin
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Here is Porsche's take on the future of solid state batteries.

https://newsroom.porsche.com/en/2023...ies-33320.html

One takeaway is that we won't see SSBs in Porsche cars before 2027. That's one reason Sue and I are thinking hybrid. We want the long trip ease and charge at home ability today. We feel Li-ion batteries are a stopgap, and we'd rather wait.

One thing for certain about EVs is that some of the issues will be different.

I have a neighbor that went with an extensive solar roof install with battery backup. He drives a Rivian. He's happy living off the grid. Recently, we had one of those typical summer storms that knocked out the neighborhood electrical grid overnight. The Appalachians are covered with trees and you can't run wires under rock, so outages here happen often and can be long. I went down to the local convenience store to get a coffee and use their WiFi to check in with work. I wound up standing behind my neighbor in the line for the register. I said "What brings you here? Aren't you full solar?" He said "Well, the power went down after dark. The Rivian drained my house batteries charging back up. At least I had the power to get down here for coffee..."
New tech, new problems!

Old 07-25-2024, 11:52 AM
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Originally Posted by torfin
I have a neighbor that went with an extensive solar roof install with battery backup. He drives a Rivian. He's happy living off the grid. Recently, we had one of those typical summer storms that knocked out the neighborhood electrical grid overnight. The Appalachians are covered with trees and you can't run wires under rock, so outages here happen often and can be long. I went down to the local convenience store to get a coffee and use their WiFi to check in with work. I wound up standing behind my neighbor in the line for the register. I said "What brings you here? Aren't you full solar?" He said "Well, the power went down after dark. The Rivian drained my house batteries charging back up. At least I had the power to get down here for coffee..."
New tech, new problems!
What does he have for battery storage? That's one aspect of this whole discussion that's usually missing in the minds of the EV detractors. With new tech comes all new solutions / problems. In a "perfect world" everyone would have solar, a wind turbine or two depending on local ordinances and land space, along with some kind of energy storage device. A wall of batteries is the easiest current solution. Products like the Tesla Power Wall will start to become more and more common as time goes on.

I see it on social media all the time when there's a disaster: "I bet all those EV owners wish they had gas vehicles now!!" They seem to forget it's at least possible (granted not always practical) to charge up EV's in various ways when the grid is down. Meanwhile gas pumps do not work without electricity, those tanks can run dry in an extended outage leaving you with zero ways to power an ICE vehicle. That is unless you have a mini refinery and a stash of oil or the ability to make your own ethanol.

It's sad that so much of the arguments are deeply fueled by unnecessary political tribalism.
Old 07-25-2024, 12:13 PM
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Petza914
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How long is a battery storage solution good for and what is the cost?

For example, I put UPS systems in my house for all my TVs that have hard drive storage systems and on all my computers because the on/off/on/off that would occur right before a power outage, which fried 2 of my Tivo hard drive storage devices on 2 separate occasions. Giving them continuous power until I could shut them down properly prevented the failures, and it was great for a couple years. However, it wasn't long before the reserve capacity from these devises that used to show 118-120 minutes of run time on the display when they were automatically enabled during a power outage , dropped to a much lower number, and now all 4 of them have failed to the point that they would immediately turn off as soon as the power went out. One of them now won't even turn on when the power is on to it.

Yes, the battery technology in these is very different than what's in EVs, but they're still batteries, and all batteries at some point will lose charge and reserve capacity, whereas an ICE will run as long as you put gas in it.

Technology and infrastructure will have to make huge strides before I'd ever consider electric as a vehicle platform even with all my ICE vehicles to back it up. Even renting a Tesla for a 2 day business trip gives me range anxiety as I watch the charge level go from the 80% I picked it up at down to 20% over 2 days of hardly any driving (maybe 60 miles), and not wanting to deal with having to find a charging station to deal with it.

I'm hanging my hopes on synthetic gasoline - https://newsroom.porsche.com/en/2023...ums-31632.html
Old 07-25-2024, 12:34 PM
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Originally Posted by Petza914
For example, I put UPS systems in my house for all my TVs that have hard drive storage systems and on all my computers because the on/off/on/off that would occur right before a power outage, which fried 2 of my Tivo hard drive storage devices on 2 separate occasions. Giving them continuous power until I could shut them down properly prevented the failures, and it was great for a couple years. However, it wasn't long before the reserve capacity from these devises that used to show 118-120 minutes of run time on the display when they were automatically enabled during a power outage , dropped to a much lower number, and now all 4 of them have failed to the point that they would immediately turn off as soon as the power went out. One of them now won't even turn on when the power is on to it.
Like anything electronic, there are varying quality levels of everything. I have two of these in my main rack:
https://www.apc.com/us/en/product/SM...tslot-avr-lcd/

Going from very fuzzy memory here, but the better units run 100% off battery power for the output and use the incoming AC to keep the batteries charged. Most (all) consumer level units run off straight AC and the battery "kicks on" as needed. I have no idea how that affects the overall battery life, just a thought.

The server farms I used to oversee the UPS's were constantly monitored by the servers or some other computer and I couldn't give an exact time frame, we didn't' replace batteries all that often. I'm guessing 5-6 years on average.

The battery tech in those things hasn't changed for as long as I can remember. Although I haven't kept up with that kind of stuff in 4-5 years, previous to that we were still buying the same batteries as we were back in the 90's.
Old 07-25-2024, 01:12 PM
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I don't know what my neighbor has for a battery backup. Next time I see him, I'll ask. We are pretty remote here, and that does create some issues. I have a UPS that I use to power my cell phone booster long enough to potentially call the power company, but that's it. My UPS is a Tripp Lite, and like Petza mentioned, has battery tech that is decades old. I replace the battery about once every two years. That's cheaper than buying a new sexy lithium driven unit. My laptops don't need it. We normally get cell access from a Verizon supplied extender (we are not on the coverage map), but the internet usually dies when neighborhood power does, so no phone from WiFi then. The Starlink coverage app tells me I'm out of luck with them unless I cut down a lot of mature trees, and I won't do that. Same for solar at my house, My solar/Rivian neighbor has more open sky.

I'm willing to bet my neighbor already has a fix for the Rivian drain issue, likely involving dropping that circuit if the house batteries are low. He has an ICE vehicle too, so keeping a full charge on his truck is not a priority. It was just a surprise.
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Old 07-25-2024, 01:41 PM
  #21  
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Originally Posted by torfin
I don't know what my neighbor has for a battery backup. Next time I see him, I'll ask. We are pretty remote here, and that does create some issues. I have a UPS that I use to power my cell phone booster long enough to potentially call the power company, but that's it. My UPS is a Tripp Lite, and like Petza mentioned, has battery tech that is decades old. I replace the battery about once every two years. That's cheaper than buying a new sexy lithium driven unit. My laptops don't need it. We normally get cell access from a Verizon supplied extender (we are not on the coverage map), but the internet usually dies when neighborhood power does, so no phone from WiFi then. The Starlink coverage app tells me I'm out of luck with them unless I cut down a lot of mature trees, and I won't do that. Same for solar at my house, My solar/Rivian neighbor has more open sky.

I'm willing to bet my neighbor already has a fix for the Rivian drain issue, likely involving dropping that circuit if the house batteries are low. He has an ICE vehicle too, so keeping a full charge on his truck is not a priority. It was just a surprise.
My wife and I were considering moving to the Asheville area once I retire, but a lot of what you just said is why we're not really thinking about that any longer. Both her job, and whatever my "Career 2.0" ends up being rely heavily on consistent/fast internet. Kinda keeps us tethered to the Triangle area, or maybe out near Wilmington.
Old 07-25-2024, 02:48 PM
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I'm not really in the Asheville area. It may be only 30 miles away, but in the mountains that may as well be the other side of the moon. Hendersonville is 22 miles and about 1500' lower altitude than here, with perfectly good infrastructure including high speed internet. The same is true of Brevard, Waynesville, and a host of other small towns, and of course Asheville too. You could not pay me enough to live in a city or the 'burbs again (I lived in RTP for a while), but there is good connectivity around this area if you need it, and decent town/city/suburban life as well.

My career 2.0 BTW, is working for a major aerospace corporation based in Huntsville. I work from home, something many companies would not have considered before Covid. When I need to make an occasional appearance I find that I can drive my 981S to Huntsville in about 6 hours, which is just a bit faster than flying commercial there from Asheville via Charlotte. I SO love my cars. My driving route goes though the Nantahala and Cherokee national forests, and it's lovely.
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Old 07-25-2024, 03:12 PM
  #23  
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Originally Posted by UKenGB
Well, just as an example to put things in perspective, an ICE powered Jaguar F-Pace of similar performance to an I-Pace EV is approx. 75kg lighter, which in cars of over 2 tons is basically FA.

There are also conversions of some cars that have turned out lighter than the original with ICE power.

I'm not trying to suggest current EVs are lighter than ICE. In general there is some additional weight currently, but with battery energy density on the rise, this will come down. The problem in the meantime is the disinformation being promulgated on the 'Net and in the media that EVs are SO much heavier. Any comparisons made are always between dissimilar cars and conveniently ignore that larger cars always weigh more and that newer cars are all getting heavier and more complicated, even ICE powered ones.

The cars I chose for comparison above are as close as I can think of. Although actually different bodies, they are extremely similar looking and of very similar size, but one is fully EV and the other pure ICE. Add 100L of petrol and the the weight will be almost the same.

This is not to say I don't understand the lure of the ICE I have grown up with and indeed still have several V8 versions of those.

All I'm saying is that an EV doesn't have to be massively heavier than an ICE equivalent and any current disparity will in a few years start to invert as battery technology moves from the current approx. 250Wh/kg to 500 and even 700 Wh/kg - both having been demonstrated in the lab and I seem to recall CATL saying 500 Wh/kg in production within the year. The whole industry will not of course switch to these newer better batteries overnight as they will be more expensive initially, but that will change over time.

So there's a very good chance that in the future there will be EVs that are not only quicker than any ICE equivalent, but also no heavier and with enough range to satisfy all.
Good post! I think that VW's solid state batteries from Power Co. based on the QS design will be one of the game changers. Much higher density, virtually no fire danger and much faster charging.

Higher power density ='s lower overall weight!

Old 07-25-2024, 06:02 PM
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@hacker-pschorr : slightly off topic but I got to hoon around a little bit recently at the Porsche Experience Center in LA and one of the cars I drove was the Cayman GTS 4.0. I still can't get the sound of that engine (and the things the PDK let the engine do) out of my head. Driving that car was immensely great and the sounds it made were a HUGE part of it.

Now I'm in the midst of trying to figure out how to get a Macan or Panamera PDK into my S4 (only slightly kidding, but I love the idea and apart from a whole bunch of work and fabrication, does not seem crazy impossible), to see about marrying that brute of a V8 with the clean shifting through gears that the PDK provides. Magic!

Cheers
Old Yesterday, 12:40 PM
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Originally Posted by 928 GT R
Higher power density ='s lower overall weight!
I should know better than to suggest technology will never produce a significantly lighter EV. I think it's safe to say we'll never see an EV with ICE range and uber light in say a Miata. Then again, maybe we will.

My skepticism lies with market demand since there really isn't a market for super light cars anymore. HP sells, light and nimble doesn't. The new ZR1 is 4,000lbs for f*ck sake.

I found an interesting list of cars for sale in 2019-2020 in the USA that weigh under 3,000lbs. 36 cars, fast forward to 2024 it's 21 and only 4 of those would I consider enthusiast cars.

So yea, who knows. If this EV future goes as far as we are fearing, Mazda is probably the only one who would spend the $$$ to figure out a way to make an EV Miata with livable DD range and still be under 2,500lbs.

Originally Posted by Zirconocene
@hacker-pschorr : slightly off topic but I got to hoon around a little bit recently at the Porsche Experience Center in LA and one of the cars I drove was the Cayman GTS 4.0. I still can't get the sound of that engine (and the things the PDK let the engine do) out of my head. Driving that car was immensely great and the sounds it made were a HUGE part of it.

Other than weight, the lack of noise is my only other complaint with EV's. Imagine going to an NHRA event with nothing but EV's
Old Yesterday, 01:11 PM
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We've already seen how Formula-E was received and the weird stuff they had to do to try and make it interesting.

Lotus would be the other company that could make a lighter EV, but if it has the same reliability as previous Lotus cars, you'd want the Mazda anyway.



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