Tesla existential threat?
Once someone resorts to the term "fan boy”, it’s clear they’ve lost the argument. Especially here- are we not all Porsche fan boys?
On another subject: Amazon made no money for years, on purpose, to develop a new and dominant business. Growth companies are not supposed to have profits.
On another subject: Amazon made no money for years, on purpose, to develop a new and dominant business. Growth companies are not supposed to have profits.
Amazon is a good example. It is successful because investors allowed, not easy but they have allowed, the company to make no money for years. Investors allowed, again not easy, Tesla to lose money for years too. Not saying none of the auto CEO has the foresight but the challenge is how to convince the board and shareholders how you're going to do it. It's obvious the outgoing BMW CEO does not know how.
Again, Tesla is company whose products are in a search of a significant market!
The key determinant is not whether a company makes money as a startup, but what the future market potential is.
Tesla, if it is successful - doubtful, will be just be another automotive OEM with a marginal ROR without any key ecosystem/rent to leverage.
A real joke to ever compare the future of Tesla to actual growth companies that provide unique market value, e.g. Apple, Amazon, Facebook, etc.
Another naive comparison!
Again, Tesla is company whose products are in a search of a significant market!
The key determinant is not whether a company makes money as a startup, but what the future market potential is.
Tesla, if it is successful - doubtful, will be just be another automotive OEM with a marginal ROR without any key ecosystem/rent to leverage.
A real joke to ever compare the future of Tesla to actual growth companies that provide unique market value, e.g. Apple, Amazon, Facebook, etc.
Again, Tesla is company whose products are in a search of a significant market!
The key determinant is not whether a company makes money as a startup, but what the future market potential is.
Tesla, if it is successful - doubtful, will be just be another automotive OEM with a marginal ROR without any key ecosystem/rent to leverage.
A real joke to ever compare the future of Tesla to actual growth companies that provide unique market value, e.g. Apple, Amazon, Facebook, etc.
Your guesses about the future seem to be influenced by anger towards Tesla. Why? So far, it is a great American success story. When did you first predict it would fail? In 2003? 2012? 2016? Not a bad prediction early on, but do you have criteria for when you'll stop? If they reach a million cars annually, will you stop? Why not be pleased with its progress? Why hope it will fail? For some, it's all wrapped up in something they believe is a gigantic hoax.
Sure is hot today.
I hope Tesla does not fail, but who knows. I hope Porsche is successful with the Taycan, but I'd say that is equally uncertain, or less: can ICE dealers be expected to sell low-maintenance cars? Gosh, my dealer is going crazy trying to get me to come in for an intermediate service. Will they jump all the way to full modernity, or only half way?
But I'm not at all uncertain about steadily increasing sales of EVs. That's from my own experience, the reactions of friends, and my long observation of trends and the underlying forces that drive them.
I want to see a good design delivered, and I will not 100% say Porsche will do it until they deliver units that can be independently tested.
I hope the Taycan is good, I really want it to be good. But lets be honest, in terms of looks the Mission-E was top dog - why, oh, why could they not deliver those looks in a good BEV.
Earl Colby Pottinger (Tesla, Bollinger, Rivian and other BEVs fan)
The ones that still exist branched out into other electronics like TVs and Phones, the store I worked at branched in selling sound systems for computers and then soon after started selling computers too - that is when I got hire. Noticed they still sold stereo systems but over time they made less and less money that way and more selling computers. About the time I left, computer sales were dropping but they had now branched into networking hardware including microwave towers for internet for the country customers - in other words they have been in business from 1969 and they still are business today because they changed with the times.
Car dealers need to learn that lesson - if they try to stick to the past they will lose.
Earl Colby Pottinger (Tesla, Bollinger, Rivian and other BEVs fan)
RL Community Team
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The EV market will be huge in the future. The writing is already on the wall. Every single manufacturer is talking about it. ALL of them. It's all you see at the shows. It's all you see news on. Half the hypercar announcements are EV's.
Not sure why you keep repeating this. I won't guarantee that Tesla will be here in 10 years, but I will guarantee that the EV market will explode in the next 10.
It is also fun to read through 100 year old auto magazines (e.g., google books, archive.org, and such are wonderful resources) where they compare the costs of buying and maintaining a car or truck vs a horse. A few carriage manufacturers tried to make the transition. One, Studebaker, made it all the way to the 1960s. Studebaker even made a few EVs back in the dawn of the auto age, before jumping on the gas bandwagon.
The EV market will be huge in the future. The writing is already on the wall. Every single manufacturer is talking about it. ALL of them. It's all you see at the shows. It's all you see news on. Half the hypercar announcements are EV's.
Not sure why you keep repeating this. I won't guarantee that Tesla will be here in 10 years, but I will guarantee that the EV market will explode in the next 10.
Not sure why you keep repeating this. I won't guarantee that Tesla will be here in 10 years, but I will guarantee that the EV market will explode in the next 10.
RL Community Team
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I honestly think it’s more about Elon than any other factor. I wish he would just shut the f*c! Up. I also wish he would stop spewing utter BS about Full Self Driving.
That and the fact that whether through regulation or subsidies, EV’s are being shoved down consumer’s throats as part of some nebulous “global war against climate change”. Edison didn’t need govt regulation or subsidies on a global scale to replace gas lamps with electric, neither did Ford need them to replace horse carriages with his cars. Small diff, but it seems to matter to a lot of people.
That and the fact that whether through regulation or subsidies, EV’s are being shoved down consumer’s throats as part of some nebulous “global war against climate change”. Edison didn’t need govt regulation or subsidies on a global scale to replace gas lamps with electric, neither did Ford need them to replace horse carriages with his cars. Small diff, but it seems to matter to a lot of people.
EV"s were not shoved down consumers' throats the same as speed limits or traffic regulations weren't shoved down drivers' throat. These are necessary things for society's own good even if they may affect lifestyle of certain people. Although you indeed have added one more reason for why some people hate Tesla. Those are people who also hate environment causes. This, the environment cause, is beyond the scope of this thread and imo is a settled issue not even need to be argued.
That said I think @Pokerhobo still gave the best reason at least for people on this forum some of whom probably even thought going to liquid cooled engine was end of the world.
Last edited by RonF; Jul 20, 2019 at 01:53 PM.


