Would 997 GT3 be worth more or less in 10yrs?
#46
Rennlist Member
collecting high priced cars is not investing. It is merely collecting. Sometimes price goes up, sometimes down. But collecting costs money - maintenance, storage, taxes, etc.
The time value of money - having money tied up in a car plus the costs of ownership - erodes even the best of increased value on the car when you sell. Do a NPV (net present value) of the future sale price of the car, less all the costs and you will still see it was a horrible "investment".
Invest well and from the profits live a lavish life - including expensive luxury cars!
Most people in this world do not understand investing, the difference between investing and speculation (cashflow vs. gambling) or the difference between an asset and a liability (assets pay you, you pay for liabilities).
Buy your assets first and then your liabilities (from the profits).
The time value of money - having money tied up in a car plus the costs of ownership - erodes even the best of increased value on the car when you sell. Do a NPV (net present value) of the future sale price of the car, less all the costs and you will still see it was a horrible "investment".
Invest well and from the profits live a lavish life - including expensive luxury cars!
Most people in this world do not understand investing, the difference between investing and speculation (cashflow vs. gambling) or the difference between an asset and a liability (assets pay you, you pay for liabilities).
Buy your assets first and then your liabilities (from the profits).
#47
Not an investment - but the GT3 will not depreciate nearly as quickly as the other 911 variants. Will be interesting to see how the 991 GT3 values hold up. I still think Porsche will produce a higher number than was produced for the 996 / 997 series because of the engine.
#49
With the introduction of the PDK demand will pick up caused by those that never intended to buy a stick shift Porsche or such a car. This could turn the GT3 into what has happened with Ferrari and Lamborghin, a poseurs delight! Not all owners of course, but I can see the constipation looking face from the true hardcore owners staring at the Starbucks crowd.
#50
With the introduction of the PDK demand will pick up caused by those that never intended to buy a stick shift Porsche or such a car. This could turn the GT3 into what has happened with Ferrari and Lamborghin, a poseurs delight! Not all owners of course, but I can see the constipation looking face from the true hardcore owners staring at the Starbucks crowd.
Or at least how many are consistently driven over 4K RPM instead of sitting at
0.0 RPMs as a showpiece in the garage?
Porsche as a brand has been a poseur's delight for a l ong time now.
But I get your meaning, it will be more obvious with an automatic GT3.
#51
Drifting
Mooty...how is that different from ANY other type of 'investment'. The rules have changed. Real estate was once considered a safe investment..is it now?
Tier one collector cars ARE an investment class now. Did you happen to see the sale results from the auctions last week? The guys buying the top level cars are doing so because they see those cars as investments. I am not monetary expert of global economic prognosticator but, chances are the paper currencies are going to take a dump. When they do hard assets will be where the money is...the thinking at Monterey amongst the jet set is that cars (the ones mentioned above, Ferraris etc) will be a great long term store of wealth. Such are the times.
Tier one collector cars ARE an investment class now. Did you happen to see the sale results from the auctions last week? The guys buying the top level cars are doing so because they see those cars as investments. I am not monetary expert of global economic prognosticator but, chances are the paper currencies are going to take a dump. When they do hard assets will be where the money is...the thinking at Monterey amongst the jet set is that cars (the ones mentioned above, Ferraris etc) will be a great long term store of wealth. Such are the times.
As to currency taking a dump - you are correct. Since Nixon took us off the gold standard in 1971 the US$ has lost more than 90% of its value. With the Federal Reserve printing this fiat money, money is no longer money. It is worth less and less every day.
But a car is not a hard asset. Gold and silver are hard assets. Rented out real estate is a hard asset. Oil wells are hard assets. Hard assets make money or hedge against inflation without costing you money to own them. Most hard assets PAY you to own them.
I will say this over and over and over and over and over and over again - your house is not an asset. Your house is a liability. Your house costs you money. Your house does not pay you money.
Same with cars.
You have no control whatsoever on the future price of your car or house. That is NOT investing, that is gambling.
#52
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Mooty...how is that different from ANY other type of 'investment'. The rules have changed. Real estate was once considered a safe investment..is it now?
Tier one collector cars ARE an investment class now. Did you happen to see the sale results from the auctions last week? The guys buying the top level cars are doing so because they see those cars as investments. I am not monetary expert of global economic prognosticator but, chances are the paper currencies are going to take a dump. When they do hard assets will be where the money is...the thinking at Monterey amongst the jet set is that cars (the ones mentioned above, Ferraris etc) will be a great long term store of wealth. Such are the times.
Tier one collector cars ARE an investment class now. Did you happen to see the sale results from the auctions last week? The guys buying the top level cars are doing so because they see those cars as investments. I am not monetary expert of global economic prognosticator but, chances are the paper currencies are going to take a dump. When they do hard assets will be where the money is...the thinking at Monterey amongst the jet set is that cars (the ones mentioned above, Ferraris etc) will be a great long term store of wealth. Such are the times.
however RE is still a safe investment. 07 bust was due to leverage, not purely RE issue. if you were in RE in 07-09 with zero levereage, you be doing must fine. NPV or IRR depednign on which school of thoughts you are on will certainly b lower vs. levered, but you are buying risk vs. safety.
the "potential" of appreciation is higher than that of car.
certainly, the uber rare cars (the are really objects that look like cars, ppl do not drive duesenberg (sp), suiza, talbot etc to car and coffee really, i dont care how much money such individual has, you just dont drive these things) will appreciate, but when once has the $ to play in this realm, there are trophy RE that they can invest in which will appreciate faster.
i am discounting the pleasure of driving the car of course. now if you want to convert that enjoyment into monetary term, then perhaps, car can be an valid investment. but GT3DE's argument was purely based on "investment" as in CF or capital appreciation.
hard asset is more useful than paper money has validity, as money is loosely (today) based on hard asset (usually gold). while a car is hard, it's not hard asset in my books. gold bar is though... but it's not too useful as a tender. if i should up with 1 metric ton of gold at monterey auction, i prolly wont be able to buy much but certainly freak out a lot of ppl.
bottom line is that buy the car, have some fun and call it a day.
#53
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fauk...
i posted right after GT3DE, not sure if seeing things his way is all that good LOL!
cheers clarke.
ah, here is disagreement:
rental prop is hard asset by clarke's std as it generates CF, provide you have enough equity to go +CF
house (your primary residence) is not hard asset it doesn't generate CF per se. but in CA, the capital appreciation (barring the recent debacle) makes it hard asset as the ultimate CF in disposition will recapture, all cap ex, tax, maintenance and such. but that's crazy CA where 1200 sf dog house with 7000sf lot just sold for $3MM not far from silicon valley. what i meant by dog house, is that it will be torn down before the escrow even closes.
i posted right after GT3DE, not sure if seeing things his way is all that good LOL!
cheers clarke.
ah, here is disagreement:
rental prop is hard asset by clarke's std as it generates CF, provide you have enough equity to go +CF
house (your primary residence) is not hard asset it doesn't generate CF per se. but in CA, the capital appreciation (barring the recent debacle) makes it hard asset as the ultimate CF in disposition will recapture, all cap ex, tax, maintenance and such. but that's crazy CA where 1200 sf dog house with 7000sf lot just sold for $3MM not far from silicon valley. what i meant by dog house, is that it will be torn down before the escrow even closes.
#54
The sad thing is that many middle income households plow nearly half of their of their income into their mortgage payments which allows them to put away this much for retirement: $0. They're retiring on a prayer and expensive property tax bills await. Although they are also largely to blame because the majority never consult with a financial planner to see what % of the bank approved loan they should actually be spending. This blows up house prices to the point that even now after an epic housing debacle home prices are still on the high side of the Case Shiller. And the ones who do plan responsibly go out into the market only to find out that their budget leaves them with few options, so they lever themselves to the hilt to get square footage that isn't anywhere near luxury. A market that relies heavily on borrowed money is a destructive one.
interesting article on going broke with high income
http://business.financialpost.com/20...ich-and-broke/
Last edited by perfectlap; 08-20-2013 at 01:37 PM.
#55
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u lost me, MBS (securitization) may contribute to the structure of mortgages, but it should not affect the outcome of housing price directly.
#56
Rennlist Member
How come this thread turns into real estates discussion??
The house that I am living in is definitely my biggest asset. If I sell it now, I will make 3 times of what I have put in 13 years ago, and I don't need to pay tax on what I earn. With this money, I can rent a place to live for a very long time.
Back to cars. They never are investments to me, they are my toys. If they depreciate less than expected, then I am happy. If they depreciate too much, then I am happy too, as I can tell my wife that there is no point selling them.
The house that I am living in is definitely my biggest asset. If I sell it now, I will make 3 times of what I have put in 13 years ago, and I don't need to pay tax on what I earn. With this money, I can rent a place to live for a very long time.
Back to cars. They never are investments to me, they are my toys. If they depreciate less than expected, then I am happy. If they depreciate too much, then I am happy too, as I can tell my wife that there is no point selling them.
#60
Drifting
Your house is not the asset for the bank. Banks don't want houses. You are the asset for the bank. You pay the bank.
The monetary system is one of actively seeking inflation (vs deflation). Freddie and Fannie were created to put Americans in debt.
Printing fiat money causes inflation. Inflation is the silent tax. Your savings are worth less and less every day.
When you borrow (mortgage) to buy a house you are following the path set out for you to be a good tax paying employee and do what you are told - a good socialist worker.
Why do you think there is no financial education in our school systems? They teach nothing about money. Even MBA programs are just education for WORKERS of a corporation - not education about how to start or run a company - just how to work at a company.