Notices
992 2019-Present The Forum for the Non-Turbo 911
Sponsored by:
Sponsored by:

Inventory vs Allocations - Shortages? Yes!

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 01-20-2021, 06:54 PM
  #16  
Russian Mafia
Burning Brakes
 
Russian Mafia's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2020
Location: Utah
Posts: 1,053
Received 857 Likes on 419 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by gohawks23
I worked in this industry for many years and supply to demand is all over the map (usually follows a varying frequency sine wave pattern over time) and building semi fabs is extremely costly and time consuming...a lot of companies hesitant to make the 1B+ investment in fabs due to great possibility of an upcoming oversupply phase...it's a balancing act of course but near impossible to meet short term demand spikes if at capacity.
Are you then saying there is a demand spike now or is there a lull in supply? Whatever the case, how can one conclude demand hasn't been rising if inventories are essentially zeroed out and prices are rising? It's possible but at the same time how can you really evaluate whether there is demand not being met? Anecdotally it seems there are more buyers circling. Also, last fall normal inventory levels disappeared in almost a flash which at least suggests some rise in demand.
Old 01-20-2021, 07:03 PM
  #17  
gohawks23
Burning Brakes
 
gohawks23's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2020
Location: Ice
Posts: 790
Received 358 Likes on 223 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Russian Mafia
Are you then saying there is a demand spike now or is there a lull in supply? Whatever the case, how can one conclude demand hasn't been rising if inventories are essentially zeroed out and prices are rising? It's possible but at the same time how can you really evaluate whether there is demand not being met? Anecdotally it seems there are more buyers circling. Also, last fall normal inventory levels disappeared in almost a flash which at least suggests some rise in demand.
I'm talking specifically about semis...which are seeing a demand spike with a lot of people at home and using/buying electronic technology...and also electronic infrastructure having to be beefed up because of that...also automotive customers due to their volumes tend to get great pricing so when supply is tight suppliers may choose to sell to higher ASP customers further limiting supply to auto...I don't really know if Porsche is seeing a demand spike or if it is more supply chain driven limiting their capability to get cars out not to mention any production issues...probably a combo of all.
The following users liked this post:
Russian Mafia (01-20-2021)
Old 01-20-2021, 07:10 PM
  #18  
gohawks23
Burning Brakes
 
gohawks23's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2020
Location: Ice
Posts: 790
Received 358 Likes on 223 Posts
Default

You can also see here Porsche actually sold significantly less 911s in Q4 to the US than in 2019...so ???

The following users liked this post:
Russian Mafia (01-20-2021)
Old 01-20-2021, 07:18 PM
  #19  
Russian Mafia
Burning Brakes
 
Russian Mafia's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2020
Location: Utah
Posts: 1,053
Received 857 Likes on 419 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by gohawks23
You can also see here Porsche actually sold significantly less 911s in Q4 to the US than in 2019...so ???
That's useful in providing numbers, we've known supply has been reduced. What we don't really know is how demand may be changing.
Old 01-20-2021, 07:20 PM
  #20  
gohawks23
Burning Brakes
 
gohawks23's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2020
Location: Ice
Posts: 790
Received 358 Likes on 223 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Russian Mafia
That's useful in providing numbers, we've known supply has been reduced. What we don't really know is how demand may be changing.
I don't know...look at those Cayenne numbers! Supply sure was ramped there...
Old 01-20-2021, 07:24 PM
  #21  
Russian Mafia
Burning Brakes
 
Russian Mafia's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2020
Location: Utah
Posts: 1,053
Received 857 Likes on 419 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by gohawks23
I don't know...look at those Cayenne numbers! Supply sure was ramped there...
Yet the total of Macans and Cayennes remained fairly steady. I have no conclusions but certainly interesting.
The following users liked this post:
gohawks23 (01-20-2021)
Old 01-20-2021, 07:29 PM
  #22  
gohawks23
Burning Brakes
 
gohawks23's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2020
Location: Ice
Posts: 790
Received 358 Likes on 223 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Russian Mafia
Yet the total of Macans and Cayennes remained fairly steady. I have no conclusions but certainly interesting.
Yeah, but if you lump Q4 altogether supply to US was up 6% across all models...might Porsche make more off Cayennes than 911s? I didn't think so which would make it weird they didn't shift some capacity there...
The following users liked this post:
Russian Mafia (01-20-2021)
Old 01-20-2021, 07:32 PM
  #23  
Porsche444
Rennlist Member
 
Porsche444's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2020
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 890
Received 554 Likes on 272 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by gohawks23
Yeah, but if you lump Q4 altogether supply to US was up 6% across all models...might Porsche make more off Cayennes than 911s? I didn't think so which would make it weird they didn't shift some capacity there...
SUV's are the most profitable vehicle for porsche!! It's the GT cars that make them the least, buts it's like a lost leader to get people to buy their SUV's.
Old 01-20-2021, 07:45 PM
  #24  
991.1 Guy
Three Wheelin'
 
991.1 Guy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2020
Location: Central Florida
Posts: 1,697
Received 930 Likes on 489 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Porsche444
SUV's are the most profitable vehicle for porsche!! It's the GT cars that make them the least, buts it's like a lost leader to get people to buy their SUV's.
Yes, I believe they call them "halo" cars?
Old 01-20-2021, 07:45 PM
  #25  
gohawks23
Burning Brakes
 
gohawks23's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2020
Location: Ice
Posts: 790
Received 358 Likes on 223 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Porsche444
SUV's are the most profitable vehicle for porsche!! It's the GT cars that make them the least, buts it's like a lost leader to get people to buy their SUV's.
If SUVs in fact more profitable than 911s that might explain lower 911 production...also these two vehicles are built at different plants...so it could be Porsche management chooses to have their Tier 1's build say more PCMs for Cayennes then 911s since semi supply is limited.
Old 01-20-2021, 07:54 PM
  #26  
malba2366
Three Wheelin'
 
malba2366's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 1,266
Received 762 Likes on 431 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by gohawks23
If SUVs in fact more profitable than 911s that might explain lower 911 production...also these two vehicles are built at different plants...so it could be Porsche management chooses to have their Tier 1's build say more PCMs for Cayennes then 911s since semi supply is limited.

The SUVs are more profitable overall because the development costs are amortized over hundreds of thousands of vehicles annually. The sports cars are on Porsche unique platforms/powertrains. If you remove the development costs, the 911 is more profitable since the prices are higher, and the buyers are more likely to purchase the high margin options...the development costs are already paid so it would benefit them to prioritize production of the 911 if there is a common part shortage.
The following users liked this post:
Russian Mafia (01-20-2021)
Old 01-20-2021, 07:57 PM
  #27  
gohawks23
Burning Brakes
 
gohawks23's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2020
Location: Ice
Posts: 790
Received 358 Likes on 223 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by malba2366
The SUVs are more profitable overall because the development costs are amortized over hundreds of thousands of vehicles annually. The sports cars are on Porsche unique platforms/powertrains. If you remove the development costs, the 911 is more profitable since the prices are higher, and the buyers are more likely to purchase the high margin options...the development costs are already paid so it would benefit them to prioritize production of the 911 if there is a common part shortage.
Knowing per unit profit by model would be the tell all.
Old 01-20-2021, 08:02 PM
  #28  
Maverick787
Nordschleife Master
 
Maverick787's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 5,304
Received 2,099 Likes on 1,011 Posts
Default

Covid boys ........people get sick and no work it’s simple. Europe has simple sick policy you’re sick stay home no questions asked. If stressed you call burn out and stay home until well.
Old 01-20-2021, 08:04 PM
  #29  
Russian Mafia
Burning Brakes
 
Russian Mafia's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2020
Location: Utah
Posts: 1,053
Received 857 Likes on 419 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by gohawks23
Knowing per unit profit by model would be the tell all.
In a normal environment and maybe presently as well. But producability might also be a dominant factor during Covid.
Old 01-20-2021, 11:46 PM
  #30  
macanspnw
Instructor
 
macanspnw's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 107
Received 58 Likes on 38 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Porsche444
SUV's are the most profitable vehicle for porsche!! It's the GT cars that make them the least, buts it's like a lost leader to get people to buy their SUV's.
Actually the 911 is Porsche most profitable car and has been one of the most profitable cars in the world by any make for years. In 2019 alone the 911 provided 30% of profits to the company but only accounted for 11% of Porsche sales across all models.

https://europe.autonews.com/automake...table-car-2019


Last edited by macanspnw; 01-20-2021 at 11:47 PM.


Quick Reply: Inventory vs Allocations - Shortages? Yes!



All times are GMT -3. The time now is 11:05 PM.