Notices
Racing & Drivers Education Forum
Sponsored by:
Sponsored by:

Some perspective on DE risk

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 08-02-2005 | 07:13 PM
  #16  
Sanjeevan's Avatar
Sanjeevan
Three Wheelin'
 
Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 1,687
Likes: 0
From: dayton,ohio
Default

Originally Posted by M758
Jeeva,
I believe the things you mentioned are partially avoidable.

Tire puncture... Just because the tire goes down does not mean you will wreck the car. An aware driver can figure this and reduce speed.

If I am saying "tire puncture and therefore accident, and boom you are dead", your answer makes sense. I am not saying that, obviously in most catastrophic tire failure you could avert an accident, but why would those incidents be even an issue. Can a catastrophic tire failure EVER cause any problems even for the highly skilled driver, I think you would agree as you say these are partially aviodable. I am taliking about the un-avoidable part.

Oil on the track can be seen and most of time accompanied by surface flags which tell you something is up. If you see a car smoking in front don't follow his line or at least slow more for the next corner.

Of course, ....you picked a situation where oil slick is not an issue, and there are millions of such situations. Is there are any situation where it can possibly be un-avoidable ? or should my comment to the next driver who spins on any oil slick, even through a blind corner be "buddy, if only you had better skills".


If dog runs on track.... Sorry to say (and I hope my little pug does not hear this). slam into them or hope they get out of your way.


Re- the drive that passed you. Well they can spin, but a good safe DE driver will know when most passed are coming and will give a wide space to that car. Stuff happens.

Now, again a driver who is too close to the car he is passing is an idiot and why do you want to brush off this threat as that. We are taliking about accidents, which happens when you give the maximum distance possible and do everything right and this other idiot still swerves into you (did you see the clip posted not too long ago here where the viper barely misses the BMW or Porsche)

Now I have to admit that all of the thing you said may it MUCH harder to avoid and incedent, but again greater skill and awareness will reduce the risk.


I can't say that if those things happen again I could avoid them again, but I feel in 95 to 99% of the inciendents could have been prevented by the driver (or even a driver "collected") by some means. In racing enviorment some of those means are not feasible since it is "raceing" in DE more of those are on the table.

As driver on a track you cannot prevent Everything, but you can prevent alot and most of the time when something happens you either failed to recognize it and theyby try to prevent it or you simple ran out of skill to get your way around.

This is exactly what I am saying, I hoped it was obvious and did'nt need mentioning that skill can avert most incidents, but I was responding to the post that said accidents are always avoidable with good preperation. Which implies that all those drivers who spin and hit the wall etc are ill-prepared idiots.
My question to you is, can there EVER be an accident on the track even for the well prepared driver?, If the answer is yes, we are in agreement.

Jeeva

Last edited by Sanjeevan; 08-02-2005 at 07:53 PM.
Old 08-02-2005 | 07:18 PM
  #17  
ninefiveone's Avatar
ninefiveone
Rennlist Member
 
Joined: Jun 2001
Posts: 1,576
Likes: 58
From: SF Bay
Default

Take your pick of studies that indicate talking on the cell phone results in driver impairment greater than driving drunk. There's plenty of them.

Driving while talking on a handsfree cellphone also has been shown to result in a significant driver impairment.

Talking to a person requires attention. Driving a 3000lb or greater vehicle requires attention. Both require enough attention that one will suffer if you're doing both at the same time.
Old 08-02-2005 | 09:51 PM
  #18  
DrJupeman's Avatar
DrJupeman
Rennlist Member
 
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 9,170
Likes: 10
From: New Jersey
Default

Originally Posted by M758
Jeeva,
I believe the things you mentioned are partially avoidable.

Tire puncture... Just because the tire goes down does not mean you will wreck the car. An aware driver can figure this and reduce speed.

Oil on the track can be seen
I hope you don't seriously believe these two statements.
Old 08-02-2005 | 10:19 PM
  #19  
baldheadracing's Avatar
baldheadracing
Instructor
 
Joined: Jan 2005
Posts: 238
Likes: 0
From: Ottaweenieville, Canada
Default

Originally Posted by jeeva
BUT, YOU CLAIM THERE CAN NEVER BE AN ACCIDENT AT DE's, say if Senna was driving. Is this true. Your quote " there is generally no such thing as an unavoidable accident (I don't believe it is possible to have an "accident" on the track, either.)"
Note I said "generally." A lightning bolt could strike the car, after all . I put "accident" in quotes because it is regularly used in a context like, "accidents are not anyone's fault." Given this sense of the word, I believe we are in agreement elsewhere.

Originally Posted by jeeva
Let's start off with a basic question. Do you think all accidents are avoidable in DE's and if the answer is yes, obviously you think requiring seat belts, roll bars for open cars, helmets etc. are a waste of time and are only needed for the ill-prepared. Would you please answer this question.
Yes, but the latter connection I (obviously) do not agree with.

After an incident, organizing and sanctioning bodies have to ask themselves, how could this (and thus, future) accidents have been avoided? I've never heard, "the accident was unavoidable," without any recommendations.

With respect to safety equipment, I think organizers have a responsibility to meet some common denominator for safety equipment, and the rest is up to the individual (and if there is competition, the stewards).

My personal opinion is if one goes as fast as a racecar on a racetrack, then one's car and oneself should be equipped at least as is typical for that use. I don't force that on anyone, though (unless I have to ). I believe safety is a personal decision.

YMMV

Last edited by baldheadracing; 08-03-2005 at 08:29 AM. Reason: fixed tags
Old 08-02-2005 | 10:48 PM
  #20  
M758's Avatar
M758
Race Director
 
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 17,643
Likes: 8
From: Phoenix, Az
Default

Originally Posted by DrJupeman
I hope you don't seriously believe these two statements.
I do believe a puncture does not mean a wreck an oil slicks can be seen.

I fully believe them. I seriously believe I never been involed in an off nor any "close" call that I could have not prevented in some way.

That is not to say that one will not be involved, but driver does play a huge role. 95% of time I have gone off it was driver error. A few times it was due to avoiding another driver's error. There has been only one time I went off and I might not have been able to prevent it. I blew-up my motor in the banking at 90 mph at PIR and spun on my oil. Thank fully I did not contact anything. However even this was my fault. Had I heeded the slight drag I felt exiting the corner before hand I would have slowed and pulled in to the pits before the rod exited the block.

So even that was "avoidable". There have been cases were drivers have spun in front of me and I we had made contact it would not have been my "fault", but I believe that 99% of the time the driver's (or both driver's) actions contribute to any off or collision.

On the tire issue... If a tire fails why? Was it old? Did you run off track? Did you run over debris? Did you "feel" something off and keep pushing too hard?

Hey at california speedway I had another racer drive me off track. He says he did not see me. I say he had to be blind. Well no harm not foul so to speak, but the incident could have been avoided if I had not assumed he would see me. If I had give him plenty of room... But in racing I CHOOSE not and therefore put myself in that situation. Clearly an avoidable incident I choose not to avoid unti I went off track to prevent contact.

See as I see it alot is driver by decision and action and the risks I am willing to take. I use safety gear to cover those time I misjudge those risk, over estimate my skills or just plane get it wrong. Really I am more concerned about some yahoo on the roads as most of the time track driving is very predicatable and the other drivers are reasonably skilled. At least more than some 16 year old on the phone or drunk.
Old 08-02-2005 | 11:34 PM
  #21  
RJay's Avatar
RJay
Addict
Rennlist Member

 
Joined: Dec 2001
Posts: 1,010
Likes: 0
From: MA
Default

Originally Posted by centerpunch
And what statistics are you using to back up this statement, which I believe is not only wrong, but VERY wrong?
Well lets see. Dale and Adams track schedule shows over 100 PCA DEs are being run in the Northeast this year. We'll assume they are all 2 day events and on average there are 100 participants. Now conservatively, if the speed average is 70 MPH and the time on track per day is 1 hour, the average participant covers 140 track miles. So 20,000 * 140 = 2.8 million track miles per year cover in the Northeast alone. My understanding is that there have been two deaths in the past 10 years or so. This is all very rough, of course, so lets assume that the number of DE's has remained static over the past 10 years and multiple by 4 regions per year to cover all the rest of the US. So thats 10 *2.8m * 4 / 2 . So on average thats 1 death per 58 million miles over the last ten years. In 2004 the US Highway date rate was 1.46 per 100 million miles.

Obviously this is a pretty loose estimate, but if you accept it as reasonable, it means that when I drove 1600 mile round trip to get to VIR to drive 300 miles on track, I was roughly 3-4 times more likely to die on the trip than I was at the track. You can bend the statistics anyway you want of course, but its pretty clear that dying in PCA DE event is a very unusual occurence and probably involves no more risk than driving to and from work for a week, with or without a cell phone in your hand.
Old 08-02-2005 | 11:52 PM
  #22  
DrJupeman's Avatar
DrJupeman
Rennlist Member
 
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 9,170
Likes: 10
From: New Jersey
Default

Originally Posted by M758
I do believe a puncture does not mean a wreck an oil slicks can be seen.

I fully believe them. I seriously believe I never been involed in an off nor any "close" call that I could have not prevented in some way.

That is not to say that one will not be involved, but driver does play a huge role. 95% of time I have gone off it was driver error. A few times it was due to avoiding another driver's error. There has been only one time I went off and I might not have been able to prevent it. I blew-up my motor in the banking at 90 mph at PIR and spun on my oil. Thank fully I did not contact anything. However even this was my fault. Had I heeded the slight drag I felt exiting the corner before hand I would have slowed and pulled in to the pits before the rod exited the block.

So even that was "avoidable". There have been cases were drivers have spun in front of me and I we had made contact it would not have been my "fault", but I believe that 99% of the time the driver's (or both driver's) actions contribute to any off or collision.

On the tire issue... If a tire fails why? Was it old? Did you run off track? Did you run over debris? Did you "feel" something off and keep pushing too hard?

Hey at california speedway I had another racer drive me off track. He says he did not see me. I say he had to be blind. Well no harm not foul so to speak, but the incident could have been avoided if I had not assumed he would see me. If I had give him plenty of room... But in racing I CHOOSE not and therefore put myself in that situation. Clearly an avoidable incident I choose not to avoid unti I went off track to prevent contact.

See as I see it alot is driver by decision and action and the risks I am willing to take. I use safety gear to cover those time I misjudge those risk, over estimate my skills or just plane get it wrong. Really I am more concerned about some yahoo on the roads as most of the time track driving is very predicatable and the other drivers are reasonably skilled. At least more than some 16 year old on the phone or drunk.
I've experienced a tire blow out at 120 mph with no prior indication that put me into a concrete wall. I've had other tire failures I've felt and was able to limp into the pits with. I was the same "aware" driver each time...

I've seen many wrecks on oil where there was no prior indication of a problem.
Old 08-03-2005 | 12:02 PM
  #23  
M758's Avatar
M758
Race Director
 
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 17,643
Likes: 8
From: Phoenix, Az
Default

Charlie,
There are always cases were it appears completely unavoidable. Most of the time you at least had control over the contributing factors. I can't say about your tire issue since I don't know any details. I am sure you did nothing that you though would have contributed to it. When my engine blew-up and I spun I was a passenger. That could have been consider unavoidable. I certainly was not prepared for nor anticiapting it. However I did do alot of thinking about what happened earlier and looking at my incar video. Studying that lead me to realizing that had I read the signed right I would not have blown the motor in the first place.

That said I am much more worred about the mistakes I make that cause and incident vs the "unavoidable" ones as you call them. I still feel that most incidents have driver involvement and there really very few that are "Completely unavoidable".

Personaly I feel if you call an incidente unavoidable you are giving up on learning from it and potential finding a way to prevent it. I hear all the time about racers who seem to have other folks hit them or almost run them off the road alot. Well while it always could be called the"other" guys fault if you become a magnet for trouble or bad luck then there is probably something your are doing wrong bring it your way. Unstanding this will give you the chance to learn. Simply calling it bad luck will just cause it to happen again.

This just my perspective on track driving and on alot of things that happen in my life.
Old 08-03-2005 | 01:01 PM
  #24  
JCP911S's Avatar
JCP911S
Thread Starter
Addict
Rennlist Member

 
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 5,364
Likes: 11
Default

All accidents have a cause. Therefore if you knew it would happen before hand you would address the cause and "avoid" it.

No actual accident is "avoidable" becasue if you could avoid it you would. Only accidents that could have happened and didn't are "avoidable"

I have spun the car many times because of driving decisions that I made consciously before hand that I knew at the time were probably a bad idea and I did them anyway. I did not make that decision because I wanted to spin... I made it for some other reason, and ended up spinning.

So was that "avoidable"?
Old 08-03-2005 | 01:27 PM
  #25  
M758's Avatar
M758
Race Director
 
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 17,643
Likes: 8
From: Phoenix, Az
Default

Maybe "potential avoidable" or "could have been avoided" are better words.
Old 08-03-2005 | 01:40 PM
  #26  
JCP911S's Avatar
JCP911S
Thread Starter
Addict
Rennlist Member

 
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 5,364
Likes: 11
Default

Originally Posted by M758
Maybe "potential avoidable" or "could have been avoided" are better words.
Yup... but it still happened
Old 08-03-2005 | 01:45 PM
  #27  
JCP911S's Avatar
JCP911S
Thread Starter
Addict
Rennlist Member

 
Joined: Mar 2004
Posts: 5,364
Likes: 11
Default

Hey.. I could have bought Microsoft stock... that makes me "potentially rich?"....whoopee
Old 08-03-2005 | 02:44 PM
  #28  
Sanjeevan's Avatar
Sanjeevan
Three Wheelin'
 
Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 1,687
Likes: 0
From: dayton,ohio
Default

Originally Posted by JCP911S
All accidents have a cause. Therefore if you knew it would happen before hand you would address the cause and "avoid" it.

No actual accident is "avoidable" becasue if you could avoid it you would. Only accidents that could have happened and didn't are "avoidable"

I have spun the car many times because of driving decisions that I made consciously before hand that I knew at the time were probably a bad idea and I did them anyway. I did not make that decision because I wanted to spin... I made it for some other reason, and ended up spinning.

So was that "avoidable"?
Well, I agree with your first two statements, But even I have to say that the latter may be avoidable, depending on where you want to draw the line.

I cannot say to myself, "accidents by definition are not avoidable" and therfore, I am going to take this 35mph turn at 55 mph. and see whether I can make it and still not spin, and when the car spins and hits a wall, then say ooops, it was an "accident". Now, obviously we''ll both agree that it was'nt an accident.

Now, at the other extreme, I cannot stop the car at every blind turn to check for oil-slicks on the track , or crawl along the track so I don't get into a situation that I cannot control. I think everyone would agree that this will be nonsense as well.


It actually is very difficult to say whether any one accident was preventable as there is no gold standard of skills and prudance to gauge from,(For, example what speed do I take that 35 mph. turn next,...55 is obviously wrong, and everyone knows of the incremental improvements, and so I try it at 36mph, but guess what the pavement has changed, the turn is blind and that brand spanking new 997 spilled some oil and you spin and hit the wall,?????, is this avoidable, absoulutely...how?...how about placing a buddy with a two-way radio at every spot on the track, and he would have alerted you,....but is this the gold standard we want to achieve,...and how about a different situation with a different solution, it can be never ending and totally impractical) ....so true accidents can happen no matter how much was planned and even with a whole life-time of skills.
Old 08-03-2005 | 02:50 PM
  #29  
M758's Avatar
M758
Race Director
 
Joined: Aug 2002
Posts: 17,643
Likes: 8
From: Phoenix, Az
Default

My point in this entire thread is that the you as driver by being cautious and aware can greatly reduce the risk of most incidents even the ones some folks call "unavoidable".

How you drive on a track and how you prepare your car are the BIGGEST factors in your chances of being in a incident.
Old 08-03-2005 | 02:54 PM
  #30  
Sanjeevan's Avatar
Sanjeevan
Three Wheelin'
 
Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 1,687
Likes: 0
From: dayton,ohio
Default

Originally Posted by M758
My point in this entire thread is that the you as driver by being cautious and aware can greatly reduce the risk of most incidents even the ones some folks call "unavoidable".

How you drive on a track and how you prepare your car are the BIGGEST factors in your chances of being in a incident.

I totally and completely agree with you, as I've already mentioned. You were not saying accidents can never happen....


Quick Reply: Some perspective on DE risk



All times are GMT -3. The time now is 04:58 AM.