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RS prices in the long run

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Old 12-12-2015 | 10:16 PM
  #16  
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Originally Posted by usctrojanGT3
Not sure...I heard from 2 dealers (good list dealers) that there was talk about extending production of the RS until the end of Sept. If that's true, not sure how many more cars they'll build.
I'm sure up till this point it has been a bottleneck due to certain exclusive to the RS components- probably from all I've read it's the magnesium roof. It makes sense that as that production or supplier starts to deliver more, they will build more. Whether that will be through Sept. we will see, but again it makes sense, because after September they will convert all production to the latest 991.2 models.
Old 12-13-2015 | 01:25 AM
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Originally Posted by 0to60
With "no dog in the fight" I hope they produce another round of 991.1 RS. If anything maybe people will learn not to speculate on a car that is not produced in true limited/numbered fashion 1 of x.
You know, it would be great if PAG/VW did that and it taught a little lesson to all the flippers, speculators, and stealerships. I get this feeling that more RS allocations are coming in 1Q 2016 (2Q/3Q builds).
Old 12-13-2015 | 01:29 AM
  #18  
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Originally Posted by montoya
I'm sure up till this point it has been a bottleneck due to certain exclusive to the RS components- probably from all I've read it's the magnesium roof. It makes sense that as that production or supplier starts to deliver more, they will build more. Whether that will be through Sept. we will see, but again it makes sense, because after September they will convert all production to the latest 991.2 models.
With the demand that PAG/VW is seeing for the RS, I hope they are all over their bottleneck suppliers to pump out as many roofs, hoods, and engines as they can. Why did they do an additional 2016 run of GT3s and not build more RSs cars? I can't believe that PAG/VW will leave that much money on the table.
Old 12-13-2015 | 01:36 AM
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Originally Posted by STG991
If you find that out tell me what next weeks lottery numbers are or where the stock market will be in 2020.

Questions like this are the reason for the craziness, speculation, and flipping.

Brand new cars appreciating like investments are a bubble waiting to pop! Guys buying these cars as golden eggs are in for a big surprise when they realize most cars aren't good investments. Buying $150K+ cars and thinking you can drive them for free is a bit of a fairy tale that will soon end.
Originally Posted by mrsullivan
That last sentence has not been my experience with desirable Porsches. I have purchased them, drove for a few thousand miles, then sold back for same price. Several times. Including GT3s. I agree with you that no one should buy with an appreciation expectation. But Porsches that are limited in some way hold their value well.
In the spring we started with $25k-$50k over for the RS then we went to $50k-$75k over in the summer then $75k-$100k over in the fall and now we are at $100k-$200k over? If that doesn't seem frothy then I don't know what does. The move in the market reminds me of some former "hot" IPOs like GoPro and Tweeter. A 991 RS trading at/around the same price as a 4.0RS and the 991 RS trading at 2x-3x more than a 991 GT3 is beyond laughable for me when 997.2 RSs trade at approx. a 50% premium to a non-RS version. But hey, I'm just a numbers guy after all.
Old 12-13-2015 | 01:38 AM
  #20  
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if they make 2017 .1RS, it's another 300 cars?
that will be eaten up in no time. what make you all think RS price will drop?

if yellen took fed rate to 10%, yes, it will drop and we will see the GREATER DEPRESSION. but otherwise, printing money is free.
Old 12-13-2015 | 01:41 AM
  #21  
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Originally Posted by usctrojanGT3
With the demand that PAG/VW is seeing for the RS, I hope they are all over their bottleneck suppliers to pump out as many roofs, hoods, and engines as they can. Why did they do an additional 2016 run of GT3s and not build more RSs cars? I can't believe that PAG/VW will leave that much money on the table.
They kept making 2016 gt3 because people still wanted to buy them. It took a lot longer due to the stop sale and engine recall. Not a normal situation.

Throwing allocations right and left is not good for cool aid. That's why it takes time. Maybe Porsche have been to cautious? It's just the way they do it. Rich people don't like to wait. I want know. How much do you want? Some wait and pay less. When run is over that's when real market value show. Could be $150k over. My crystal ball says different.
Old 12-13-2015 | 01:44 AM
  #22  
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Originally Posted by mooty
if they make 2017 .1RS, it's another 300 cars?
that will be eaten up in no time. what make you all think RS price will drop?

if yellen took fed rate to 10%, yes, it will drop and we will see the GREATER DEPRESSION. but otherwise, printing money is free.
I don't think the prices will drop below MSRP and probably won't go below $25k-$50k over MSRP in the intermediate term even with more supply and/or a small recession. I think if the .2RS is NA that will bring prices down as I believe part of the run up that you've seen in the RS prices since the spring is partially due to speculation that the .1RS will be the last NA RS. I'm just not a buyer in the $300s....in the $200s yeah. And for $400s, it's Speciale or 4.0RS time.
Old 12-13-2015 | 05:44 AM
  #23  
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$299,999.99 seems like a fair price.
Old 12-13-2015 | 08:43 AM
  #24  
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I like that number too.
Old 12-13-2015 | 05:05 PM
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couple things for perspective:

2007-early 2008: economy was on fire- RS was asking premium of 20-30k at start of production to 75-100k towards mid summer. some super high option cars asking 225-250k. I got mine for MSRP.

late 2008- US econ takes massive dump. RS prices instantly go into free fall, trending around msrp +/-15k depending on spec.

2009- cars available from around 110k (20+k off msrp)

late 2009, 997.2 announced.

2010- 997.2 GT3//RS available. not limited, more are produced, less premiums but still some sellers and dealers are asking up to 50k over. I got mine for MSRP

2011- impending with release of PDK for future generations, begins the notion that "oh crap they won't make manuals anymore AND GT1 based engine will be discontinued"

2011- RS 4.0 Released, SUPER Limited. but, with MSRP 50k above the already awesome RS, not all cars are immediately sold. 3.8RS values hold, slight increase 5-15k.

2012-2014 all GT3RS markets are normalized.

2014: 991GT3 released with PDK only. 3.6RS and 3.8RS values immediately start climbing.
2014: Porsche issues recall on the 9A1 based GT3 due to 3 engine fires. 3.6 and 3.8RS values explode upwards, the 4.0RS blows past 300k into 350k
2015: Gt3RS 991 sold, glowing reviews, some luddites don't like PDK or rear steering, values of 997 based cars continue their increase.
2015: dealers start gouging customers for 25, 40, 60, 75, 100, 125, 150k over on asking prices. 4.0RS 997 shoots past 400k, some examples asking 570k or more (delivery miles, PTS)


rarity index w/ round numbers:
4.0RS - 600 worldwide
3.6RS- ~800 Worldwide- 700ish in 2007, 120-ish 2008
3.8RS- 1500 worldwide
991RS: ~2000?
Old 12-13-2015 | 05:24 PM
  #26  
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Originally Posted by C.J. Ichiban
rarity index w/ round numbers:
4.0RS - 600 worldwide
3.6RS- ~800 Worldwide- 700ish in 2007, 120-ish 2008
3.8RS- 1500 worldwide
991RS: ~2000?
Another reference from wiki for production numbers. I wish .1RS were at 800+ units.
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Old 12-13-2015 | 05:59 PM
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Originally Posted by STG991
If you find that out tell me what next weeks lottery numbers are or where the stock market will be in 2020.

Questions like this are the reason for the craziness, speculation, and flipping.

Brand new cars appreciating like investments are a bubble waiting to pop! Guys buying these cars as golden eggs are in for a big surprise when they realize most cars aren't good investments. Buying $150K+ cars and thinking you can drive them for free is a bit of a fairy tale that will soon end.
This right here....
Old 12-13-2015 | 06:03 PM
  #28  
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Originally Posted by 997rs4.0
They kept making 2016 gt3 because people still wanted to buy them. It took a lot longer due to the stop sale and engine recall. Not a normal situation.

Throwing allocations right and left is not good for cool aid. That's why it takes time. Maybe Porsche have been to cautious? It's just the way they do it. Rich people don't like to wait. I want know. How much do you want? Some wait and pay less. When run is over that's when real market value show. Could be $150k over. My crystal ball says different.
ok I'll bite. what does your crystal ball say?
Old 12-13-2015 | 06:15 PM
  #29  
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660 or so slated for NA not including ROW
Old 12-13-2015 | 06:27 PM
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Originally Posted by oc997
660 or so slated for NA not including ROW
Total RS's for NA is only 660? Where did you see that number?


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