I hope Porsche realizes that price is gonna sell these cars
#241
#242
Probably the hardest aspect of Tesla to comprehend - who/what are they competing against? It seems to me new categories were created (premium midsized and full sized EV cars and premium full sized EV SUVs?) and Tesla stands alone in them. To enter these newly created segments, manufacturers will need to offer the same or better performance, utility, comfort and safety at a competitive price.
So where does that leave the Taycan? It was originally designed to compete against the Model S but now the Model 3 is cannibalizing sales of the S because it offers similar performance, utility, comfort and safety in a slightly smaller package for half the price. The bar has moved!!
This makes for a tough row for Porsche to hoe - no wonder the brass is sweating the costs! Porsche is only planning to sell 20,000 Taycans per year for the whole world. For comparison Tesla builds 20,000+ cars per month - Ford builds 20,000 F series trucks per week. This is not a high volume car - maybe that will justify the higher cost to some. And dealers will likely attempt to gouge early buyers....
The market for premium four door sedans is shrinking and SUVs are taking over. SUVs are probably the best use of EV technology because they have little sporting pretense so that eliminates all of the chatter about weight and trackability. Launching the low slung Taycan in this market is akin to jumping on a sinking ship. The J1 chassis of the etron and Taycan is doomed anyway once the new PPE platform ushers in the new era of EVs for VW Group.
Lets not forget that the Taycan is, at its heart, a compliance car built to meet a consent decree which resulted from this foreign company cheating US emissions laws in the name of exporting US dollars to Germany. It must be launched in some form, ready or not, by the end of 2019. The circumstances of its birth do not bode well for its future.
So where does that leave the Taycan? It was originally designed to compete against the Model S but now the Model 3 is cannibalizing sales of the S because it offers similar performance, utility, comfort and safety in a slightly smaller package for half the price. The bar has moved!!
This makes for a tough row for Porsche to hoe - no wonder the brass is sweating the costs! Porsche is only planning to sell 20,000 Taycans per year for the whole world. For comparison Tesla builds 20,000+ cars per month - Ford builds 20,000 F series trucks per week. This is not a high volume car - maybe that will justify the higher cost to some. And dealers will likely attempt to gouge early buyers....
The market for premium four door sedans is shrinking and SUVs are taking over. SUVs are probably the best use of EV technology because they have little sporting pretense so that eliminates all of the chatter about weight and trackability. Launching the low slung Taycan in this market is akin to jumping on a sinking ship. The J1 chassis of the etron and Taycan is doomed anyway once the new PPE platform ushers in the new era of EVs for VW Group.
Lets not forget that the Taycan is, at its heart, a compliance car built to meet a consent decree which resulted from this foreign company cheating US emissions laws in the name of exporting US dollars to Germany. It must be launched in some form, ready or not, by the end of 2019. The circumstances of its birth do not bode well for its future.
Top trade for the Model S was the BMW 5-Series, and now for the Model 3 it's the BMW 3-Series. Average loan for a new vehicle in 2018 is $30k+ - https://www.prnewswire.com/news-rele...300704598.html
I don't think a lot of people realize that a loaded version of the 3 (340i xDrive) is $60k+. A comparable Model 3 build is $64,700 w/ destination + no gas and incentives (one could argue the BMW has factory incentives) so let's call it a dead heat.
#243
This was just posted on the Tesla forum by a Porsche club instructor who owns a Tesla Model 3 performance. He got 5th overall time in a field of GT4's, GT3's and other Porsche models with his Tesla in a Porsche club autocross event. Even though not many people are tracking their Tesla yet the notion that Tesla is not a trackable car is way exaggerated. BMW and Porsche, especially BMW. better wake up fast.
https://forums.tesla.com/forum/forum...sla-vs-porsche
https://forums.tesla.com/forum/forum...sla-vs-porsche
#244
Autocross is considered ‘tracking’ your car?
#245
I wonder what those Porsche were doing there. Can they find a better thing to do? Point of his report was how nicely the Tesla did against GT4's and GT3RS's when pushed to the limit.
There were already a few who took theirs to tracks and I can guarantee you more will come. Gone will be ICE's last defense when that starts to happen. Nothing to laugh about if my livelihood depends on that. BMW and Porsche better wake up fast. Denial won't get you anywhere.
There were already a few who took theirs to tracks and I can guarantee you more will come. Gone will be ICE's last defense when that starts to happen. Nothing to laugh about if my livelihood depends on that. BMW and Porsche better wake up fast. Denial won't get you anywhere.
#246
Rennlist Member
seems to be a common theme here among the EV + Porsche enthusiasts (EV + GT3)!
#247
https://www.bmwblog.com/2017/08/02/t...per-bloomberg/
A new Model S is due but the new Model Y compact SUV will probably make a bigger splash because that market segment is still growing.
#248
Here you go. Stock Model S P100D got a very respectable 1:43:06 at Laguna Seca by a pro driver. Probably even a record for a car this big. Like I said these things will get out sooner or later. The last ICE defense will be soon gone.
#249
Rennlist Member
kudos for the lap time with a 5,xxx lbs 4 door sedan…
but I find two statements at odds with one another:
I'm guessing what he means is no physical setup changes (tires, brakes, or suspension) but I'd be surprised if there wasn't some software changes…otherwise why work with Tesla Engineering?
I'm still happy about the lap time - that's pretty quick, and really quite an accomplishment given the car's weight…but I doubt it's a car a normal user could take delivery of - now an OTA update might do the trick.
and I also I"ll beat the drum - I doubt that car could do that lap time 3 or 4 times back to back…at least 3 problems with that car doing back to back laps
now the Model 3 is a refreshed design (we're coming up on the Model S being almost 8 years old if you think lead times for manufacturing) - and we know the Model 3 has better battery thermals and with track mode they will expand that envelope - I consider the Model S a 1.75 lap car, 2 laps at the most full tilt - the Model 3 seems to be more of a 3-5 lap car, and track mode should make that more like 6-8 laps…so we're getting closer for a HPDE type track day - I typically get 8 back to back laps in a 20 min session with my GT3 @ Laguna…so the Model 3 should not be too far off for a 20-25 session.
but I find two statements at odds with one another:
"Work with the development engineering team at Tesla during a track day"
"stock Model S P100D"
"stock Model S P100D"
I'm still happy about the lap time - that's pretty quick, and really quite an accomplishment given the car's weight…but I doubt it's a car a normal user could take delivery of - now an OTA update might do the trick.
and I also I"ll beat the drum - I doubt that car could do that lap time 3 or 4 times back to back…at least 3 problems with that car doing back to back laps
- brakes aren't up the task - I've driven laguna in my P85d - awesome brake fade to the point of being really really really scary
- tires aren't up the task - car is just too heavy - any car with that weight will have problems with tires back to back laps
- power limits imposed due to battery thermals…
now the Model 3 is a refreshed design (we're coming up on the Model S being almost 8 years old if you think lead times for manufacturing) - and we know the Model 3 has better battery thermals and with track mode they will expand that envelope - I consider the Model S a 1.75 lap car, 2 laps at the most full tilt - the Model 3 seems to be more of a 3-5 lap car, and track mode should make that more like 6-8 laps…so we're getting closer for a HPDE type track day - I typically get 8 back to back laps in a 20 min session with my GT3 @ Laguna…so the Model 3 should not be too far off for a 20-25 session.
Last edited by daveo4porsche; 09-17-2018 at 02:15 PM.
#250
Rennlist Member
one thing about the Model 3 lap record v.s other production cars
it can make sound at Laguna on a 90 and 92 DB day with no modifications...
there a quite a number of cars on the Laguna lap time list that can't make sound on a 90 or 92 DB day @ laguna - which means either exhaust modifications or lifting between turns 5 & 6…and if you're lifting between 5&6 you're not doing your best lap time…
the Model 3 can pass sound all day long with no lift between 5 & 6
it can make sound at Laguna on a 90 and 92 DB day with no modifications...
there a quite a number of cars on the Laguna lap time list that can't make sound on a 90 or 92 DB day @ laguna - which means either exhaust modifications or lifting between turns 5 & 6…and if you're lifting between 5&6 you're not doing your best lap time…
the Model 3 can pass sound all day long with no lift between 5 & 6
#251
I also agree with rest of your points. It's not quite there for tracking yet but EV and battery technologies are only at the infant stage now. Things will continue to get better whereas there is little room for improvement for ICE technology at this stage of the game.
#252
RL Community Team
Rennlist Member
Rennlist Member
I have stayed away from glancing at this thread for some time, it seems the debate has become very lively! Quite fun!
EV's certainly tend to polarize automotive enthusiasts, and Tesla even more so. So is the way of disruptive companies with disruptive executives. And make no mistake, Tesla has truly disrupted the industry. I do not believe for a second that we would be where we are today without the impact that Tesla has had.
But where we are today is the start of an onslaught of EV's from nearly every mass manufacturer. Audi is launching the E-Tron and already taking deposits. Porsche is taking deposits on the Taycan (what an unfortunate name!). Jaguar has the iPace. Merc just launched the EQC, etc. The all electric X3 is coming. The Leaf is newly redesigned. Etc. I am not making any predictions, but will say that Tesla will face competition like it's never before and it should be very interesting to see how it plays out. They certainly have some advantages; the supercharger network, OTA updates, the "cool" factor, and others. However they've been playing solo in a market for some time now and that's going away.
I've driven a few Model S's, one for 2 days, as well as a few i3's and I am a fan of EV's. 20 months ago I got a GTI for daily commuting and I thought long and hard about an i3...but the range didn't work for me. It would for most days, but at least a few days a week I would have had to switch cars with the wife as the range was too short. I now have a new job with a much longer commute and I'm glad I don't have the i3 as it wouldn't make it to and from work and there is no charging at work. But to be honest, I can't wait until the lease in my GTI is up to get an EV for this commute. Especially if it's one with an autopilot type system. It will make my commute a LOT less stressful. The smoothness and directness of controlling the speed in traffic really does make a difference in my mind. As does the lack of NVH.
I've sat in the new Model 3 (I can't say M3, that's a BMW sorry) and I was underwhelmed. Personal preference but I don't care for the design and I don't like having to depend so much on the screen for basic functions. I know that such things get easier with time however as someone who spends a lot of time in the car, there is something to be said for a certain level of physical controls. I have not driven one but expect it to be similar to the S, just a bit slower. Which is to say perfect for everyday commuting. Houston has some seriously boring roads and the Model S handles them just fine. I would expect the Model 3 to do so as well.
But I'm not an "early adopter" and so far I haven't been able to pull the trigger with Tesla. The Model S didn't fit me (I'm 6'2" and lacked headroom) and for the near $100k price tag, I felt the interior was underwhelming. I do not care for the Model 3's design, interior or exterior. The Model X is too big and too expensive for me. Right now I'd say my preference would be an E-Tron. But we'll see when it's released and what pricing looks like.
One thing's for sure, if you're an EV fan, things are about to become very exciting.
EV's certainly tend to polarize automotive enthusiasts, and Tesla even more so. So is the way of disruptive companies with disruptive executives. And make no mistake, Tesla has truly disrupted the industry. I do not believe for a second that we would be where we are today without the impact that Tesla has had.
But where we are today is the start of an onslaught of EV's from nearly every mass manufacturer. Audi is launching the E-Tron and already taking deposits. Porsche is taking deposits on the Taycan (what an unfortunate name!). Jaguar has the iPace. Merc just launched the EQC, etc. The all electric X3 is coming. The Leaf is newly redesigned. Etc. I am not making any predictions, but will say that Tesla will face competition like it's never before and it should be very interesting to see how it plays out. They certainly have some advantages; the supercharger network, OTA updates, the "cool" factor, and others. However they've been playing solo in a market for some time now and that's going away.
I've driven a few Model S's, one for 2 days, as well as a few i3's and I am a fan of EV's. 20 months ago I got a GTI for daily commuting and I thought long and hard about an i3...but the range didn't work for me. It would for most days, but at least a few days a week I would have had to switch cars with the wife as the range was too short. I now have a new job with a much longer commute and I'm glad I don't have the i3 as it wouldn't make it to and from work and there is no charging at work. But to be honest, I can't wait until the lease in my GTI is up to get an EV for this commute. Especially if it's one with an autopilot type system. It will make my commute a LOT less stressful. The smoothness and directness of controlling the speed in traffic really does make a difference in my mind. As does the lack of NVH.
I've sat in the new Model 3 (I can't say M3, that's a BMW sorry) and I was underwhelmed. Personal preference but I don't care for the design and I don't like having to depend so much on the screen for basic functions. I know that such things get easier with time however as someone who spends a lot of time in the car, there is something to be said for a certain level of physical controls. I have not driven one but expect it to be similar to the S, just a bit slower. Which is to say perfect for everyday commuting. Houston has some seriously boring roads and the Model S handles them just fine. I would expect the Model 3 to do so as well.
But I'm not an "early adopter" and so far I haven't been able to pull the trigger with Tesla. The Model S didn't fit me (I'm 6'2" and lacked headroom) and for the near $100k price tag, I felt the interior was underwhelming. I do not care for the Model 3's design, interior or exterior. The Model X is too big and too expensive for me. Right now I'd say my preference would be an E-Tron. But we'll see when it's released and what pricing looks like.
One thing's for sure, if you're an EV fan, things are about to become very exciting.
#253
But where we are today is the start of an onslaught of EV's from nearly every mass manufacturer. Audi is launching the E-Tron and already taking deposits. Porsche is taking deposits on the Taycan (what an unfortunate name!). Jaguar has the iPace. Merc just launched the EQC, etc. The all electric X3 is coming. The Leaf is newly redesigned. Etc. I am not making any predictions, but will say that Tesla will face competition like it's never before and it should be very interesting to see how it plays out. They certainly have some advantages; the supercharger network, OTA updates, the "cool" factor, and others. However they've been playing solo in a market for some time now and that's going away.
Teslas have a giant iPad on the dash because EVs do not require gauges and dials to monitor numerous mechanical systems. Clean sheet design means rethinking convention and it takes time for end users to adapt. Personally, I am fascinated by what Tesla engineers have done to reinvent the car - revolution over evolution. I can't wait to see what OEMs can bring to the table when they get serious about EVs.
#254
Rennlist Member
I'm very excited to have choices other than Tesla - I'm unfortunately in the position of losing my car-pool sticker for my Model S at the end of 2018 - and I'm looking for another EV...
there are 3 choices for a pure-EV that I can buy today
1. Tesla
2. Bolt
3. Leaf
everything else is vaporware {sigh}
I wouldn't be getting rid of my Model S - I'm very happy with it as a car - but it will no longer be a car-pool enabled car - and the car pool lane saves me 2-3 hours/week on my commute....
the unfortunate truth is if you want an EV in the next 6 months Tesla is still the only game in town IMHO - yes the others are coming, but still not today.
there are 3 choices for a pure-EV that I can buy today
1. Tesla
2. Bolt
3. Leaf
everything else is vaporware {sigh}
I wouldn't be getting rid of my Model S - I'm very happy with it as a car - but it will no longer be a car-pool enabled car - and the car pool lane saves me 2-3 hours/week on my commute....
the unfortunate truth is if you want an EV in the next 6 months Tesla is still the only game in town IMHO - yes the others are coming, but still not today.
#255
Here you go. Stock Model S P100D got a very respectable 1:43:06 at Laguna Seca by a pro driver. Probably even a record for a car this big. Like I said these things will get out sooner or later. The last ICE defense will be soon gone.
https://twitter.com/EBouret/status/1041513650119303168
https://twitter.com/EBouret/status/1041513650119303168
Laguna is a torque track where an EV should shine. The fact that it turns in a decent time isn't surprising, but go look at the cars in that range at Laguna. Not exactly super sports cars. It's only seven seconds behind that legendary sports sedan, the Cadillac ATS-V...
And how many laps did it turn before overheating? We won't know because the whole thing was done by Tesla...
Eventually, EVs will dominate on the track, but that day is still a ways off and all the 'we broke the EV lap record' Twitter posts won't change that.