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Old 03-14-2019, 02:37 PM
  #256  
Amyist
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A little late on the discussion, but I saw this thread and just had to share this gem of a property in Beverly Glen that my I came across while house hunting last year...

https://www.redfin.com/CA/Los-Angele...7/home/6832246

Also, I love Southern California and will pay all the tax in the world to live here. The weather is beautiful today!!
Old 03-14-2019, 02:42 PM
  #257  
dave292
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Originally Posted by zmangt3
Great post!
+1. Very well written.
Old 03-14-2019, 03:02 PM
  #258  
vf430
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Rob’s points are valid. End of the day it comes down to how important good weather/ outdoors and economic / career opportunity is to you. This gets amplified if you are in high technology industry.

There isn’t a good alternative that’s comparable. Almost all others have their down sides ( Texas , NC, east coast, mid west ).

If we look this as purely financial standpoint , I guess we could all retire early and live in Texas for cheap in a big mansion. But life is not so one dimensional.

If you could afford it in CA and prosper in career or business by taking advantage of all the benefits of people resources and networks ... I see no reason to consider any other place. I say this out of experience.. between my wife and I we have lived in ( TX, GA , SC , NC , IL , NJ ) now CA.

Old 03-14-2019, 03:14 PM
  #259  
Marv
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Originally Posted by robmypro
8. If for some crazy reason have to commute to work, and you don't live within a few miles, god help you. Los Angeles has the world's worst traffic 6 years in a row. How bad is it? Your blood pressure is going to go up considerably. You could be nicer than the Pope, but you are going to learn about your darker side after spending 2 hours in your car. Make sure you have a really good car too, because you are going to be living in it. The last time we visited northern California it took us 4 1/2 hours to go the equivalent of a 1 hour drive. The good news is traffic is pretty light at 3am most of the time.
Yes, traffic can take all the joy out of driving. My understanding is that a number of states (California included) are looking at a pay-per-mile driving tax.

First, we couldn't afford living in California. Property and taxes are way over our budget. However, there are a couple of points Robmypro made that are worth some consideration.

Originally Posted by robmypro
12. The state is prone to earthquakes. In the 30 years that I lived there we had a few big ones, but overall I would say it is an overblown concern. It shakes for a while, but I would personally rather deal with an occasional earthquake than annual hurricanes. But if you are going to sink $1.5 to $2 million into real estate in the golden state, understand that earthquake insurance is brutally expensive. In fact, unless the fault line runs right under your house the chances of you getting any payback from that earthquake policy are slim and none.
Let's not forget the fires (and subsequent mud slides). We have a friend (an arborist) that works as a contractor for various electric companies. The decimation she described was hard to fathom. Some tabulations put that the grand total for 2018 at nearly $400 billion with the insurance companies paying out about $12 billion. Even if it turns out to be 1/10th that cost, that still is horrific.

Compare that with the Caribbean's bill for hurricane Matthew of $15 billion.

The earthquakes don't bother me as much as the fires and flooding in California. Given the damage Californians took on the chin, hurricanes look like a gusty afternoon. I can't imagine the heartaches some Californians must be going through.

While I never had to bug out of Florida for weather, at least you get ample warning with hurricanes.

Originally Posted by robmypro
13. The weather is really good. The women are even better.
Absolutely gorgeous here today, too. I can only vouch for my wife, whom I adore.

Old 03-14-2019, 03:54 PM
  #260  
rodsky
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Rob - your points are valid except, you take data to a hysterical conclusion in some cases.

1. If you think CA is badly managed, last i checked the US is in debt to tune of $20T+ and counting. CA submits more in taxes to the Fed government than we receive vs benefits we get. California is a donor state. On average the other states receive more than $1 vs $1 paid in (national average is $1.20 or so). States like West Virginia, New Mexico, Kentucky are at the higher end of being net takers or dependent on Fed Govt $
2. Prop 13 - there is no way they can protect the guy paying hundreds vs the guy paying $20K+. If they do away with prop 13, then all values go to market and the lower paying people will pay more. On my street - this doesnt mean poor people. It means the guy across the road bought his house 30 years ago and pays low taxes. His financial status has nothing to do with how much he pays. Its when he bought his house and it can only go up a certain % each year.
3. Education. You're right. But not everyone goes to Stanford. Many people go out of state for college and the recent scandal was aimed at students here but affected schools like USC and Yale. This guy and the people at those schools were the issue. But getting into top schools here i.e. UCLA or Stanford or Yale or any elite school, is insanely difficult regardless of where u go to HS. This is not a CA thing. There are many great public schools in LA e.g. in Manhattan Beach. No need to go private there. But that also affects housing prices.
4. Your $$'s are on but in expensive areas they are much higher than what you stated. In Santa Monica north of Montana - $1.5M is a tear down house
Old 03-14-2019, 04:52 PM
  #261  
Archimedes
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Originally Posted by rodsky
Rob - your points are valid except, you take data to a hysterical conclusion in some cases.

1. If you think CA is badly managed, last i checked the US is in debt to tune of $20T+ and counting. CA submits more in taxes to the Fed government than we receive vs benefits we get. California is a donor state.
That's not true unless you (mistakenly) include payments to private business doing government work, 'government spending'. Every time you see that article that says 'government sends more money to California than it takes from it', dig deeper into the numbers. They're including government spending on products and services, which is totally misleading. If you look at taxes versus entitlements, California is a net taker from the Feds.
Old 03-14-2019, 04:57 PM
  #262  
goin2drt
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And why lawyers love CA. Everyone has to sue because they were wronged in some way. Who knew it just took money and not smarts to get into these schools.
https://apple.news/AnAXbu3QLTkGaJQNJqHSIJw
Old 03-14-2019, 05:01 PM
  #263  
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Originally Posted by iczer34
Move to California. It's a no-brainer. High cost of living? Who cares. It's just money, you'll make more.

Pro-Tip: NorCal vs. SoCal is a thing. Pick a side and stick with it.

Here's two humorous instagram accounts to follow: @overheardsanfrancisco // @overheardla
I follow both those, its funny to hear/overhear what can be said sometimes. they have them in other locations as well, but the LA one is by far the funniest.

I've read this thread the last two days, definitely some good stuff here.
Born and raised in the East Bay, and worked my way up to a more affluent community but its also near some crimey (lite) areas (speaking statistically not snobery as i'm still more or less blue collar).
Traveling quite a bits throught the states and all things considered, I like it here. Its not heaven, but topography, socially, economically, it really fits my outdoorsy lifestyle.
Hour from the beach (Santa Cruz) and hour and a half from Skiing, half hour from the delta (premier boating imo). Cycling everywhere (i road and mountain). Now, dirtbiking somewhat sucks here, you've got the best topography for it, but the greenie meanies and the numbers deem it harder and harder to find good riding (the fires are not helping this matter as we just lost Stoneyford riding area and Middle Creek)......
Old 03-14-2019, 05:06 PM
  #264  
Archimedes
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Originally Posted by robmypro

1. A decent home in a decent area is going to cost you over $1 million. If you want a nice home in a nice area, plan on $1.5 to $2 million minimum. And that $1.5 million dollar home is not going to be anything to write home about. These are going to be places within a few miles of the ocean. I don't see any reason to live further away than that, because it is too hot and boring.

Meh, just gotta work at it. We have a very nice house in a good neighborhood, 4 miles from the ocean, only $1.5 mil.


3. You can only deduct the interest on the first $750k, so if you get a loan above that the interest in not deductible on your federal return.

$500k not $750k


5. On your Federal return you can only deduct a maximum of $10k on state and local taxes. So assuming the situation above, you are going to have at least $20k in state income taxes, plus $20k in property taxes. Of the $40k, only $10k is deductible. Plus the mortgage interest on that loan is partially non-deductible. The bottom line is your tax bill is most-likely going way up, unless you lived in NYC.

Mortgage and property tax deduction limit is pretty immaterial. Income tax deduction loss is material, but the new tax law more than offset it. The new tax law didn't screw us, it just didn't give us the big benefit some other states got. Oh and don't forget, California adds another 1% on income over 1 mil.

6. Next, you are going to have to send your kids to private school unless you live in a really good area. Plan on another $10k to $15k per year per student, starting in elementary school. This only gets worse as you get to High School. You will need suitcases of unmarked bills to get into an elite school.

$10-15k? Good private schools in the Bay Area run $30-60k a year per student.

7. Speaking of that, you now know the games that have been played in California regarding higher education. I read that 4,000 applicants with perfect SATs and 4.0+ GPAs were turned away from Stanford last year alone. So if you are thinking about your bright kid getting into one of the top schools, good luck with that.

Not specific to California. Elite schools everywhere have had lower admit percentages. The big issue in California is that the State has allowed some of the better State Universities to sell out to the foreign students, mostly from China, to raise funds. I have a problem with State funded schools like UCLA basically turning into psuedo private schools educating foreign nationals rather than doing what they should be doing, educating the masses of California resident students.

11. California is extremely mismanaged, financially. How mismanaged is the worlds 5th largest economy? According to a January 2017 study, California state and local governments owe $1.3 trillion as of June 30, 2015. On top of that the Bay Area Council Economic Institute pegs the cost of California's unfunded infrastructure needs at up to $737 billion. Why does this $2 trillion matter? Well, with the top 1% paying half the taxes, money will need to be raised to pay for these obligations, and the 1% are the ones with money and very little political power. With so many poor people coming to California from socialist countries south of the border, their attitude is to take from the rich to give to the poor. And yes, even illegals can vote in California. If you belong to the 1%, you officially have a target on your back.

Very true, but there are lots of states that are a mess right now. The coming pension crisis will leave few states untouched.

13. The weather is really good. The women are even better.

For sure. I just got back from lunch spent hitting golf ***** at Pebble Beach on a beautifully sunny 60 degree day. In early March.
Agree with some, not all.
Old 03-14-2019, 05:41 PM
  #265  
rodsky
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Archimedes, you make a lot of sense . Jealous re Pebble. You going to the US Open this year? I went in 2010 and played it 3 weeks later for a big birthday in July . One of my favorite places/courses in the world.
Old 03-14-2019, 05:46 PM
  #266  
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Originally Posted by Archimedes
That's not true unless you (mistakenly) include payments to private business doing government work, 'government spending'. Every time you see that article that says 'government sends more money to California than it takes from it', dig deeper into the numbers. They're including government spending on products and services, which is totally misleading. If you look at taxes versus entitlements, California is a net taker from the Feds.
great point
Old 03-14-2019, 05:53 PM
  #267  
robmypro
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Originally Posted by Archimedes
Agree with some, not all.
I am pretty sure it is $750k, not $500k. OMG $30k to $60k per year, per student? That IS insane. Oh yeah, the extra 1%. Forgot about that!

Pebble Beach is awesome. Lucky you!


Old 03-14-2019, 06:40 PM
  #268  
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Originally Posted by zmangt3
Great post!
Indeed. Ty Rob. Probably saved someone’s life’s effort with this post really.
Old 03-14-2019, 06:56 PM
  #269  
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Originally Posted by goin2drt
And why lawyers love CA. Everyone has to sue because they were wronged in some way. Who knew it just took money and not smarts to get into these schools.
https://apple.news/AnAXbu3QLTkGaJQNJqHSIJw
Well we love great cases with damages. Not just to sue.
Old 03-14-2019, 07:05 PM
  #270  
robmypro
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Originally Posted by Outlaw
Indeed. Ty Rob. Probably saved someone’s life’s effort with this post really.
Just remember, the weather is amazing, the sunsets reflecting off the ocean are incredible, and the smoking hot women offset almost all the negatives. lol


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