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Will Macan Cannibalize Cayenne Market ?

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Old 06-08-2015, 03:11 PM
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Evogelpohl
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Default Will Macan Cannibalize Cayenne Market ?

I’m scouring the car sale inter-webs for a ’11-’13 Cayenne Turbo (Premium Plus + Pano + <30K miles + not black interior + not white exterior). New to the Porsche SUV family (former 987 owner).

Curious … If, as one might hypothesize, the Macan Turbo (similar options) is a substitute for this era Cayenne Turbo (upright SUV-style, same 0-60); would you expect resale to fall ever more steeply for the CT as Macan’s enter the used market?

Asked another way, will the C. Turbo have its own market supporting its resale, unique & distinct from the Macan Turbo market?

Thoughts?
Old 06-08-2015, 04:17 PM
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wrinkledpants
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Cayenne's don't have great resale - the Macan won't change that.

The Macan is pretty small inside. It can't tow 7700 lbs. It doesn't have the ground clearance that the Cayenne does for off-roading, or even handling deep snow. I like it, but it's just too small for me. My cayenne's trunk space is barely adequate.
Old 06-08-2015, 04:20 PM
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mtnrat
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Originally Posted by wrinkledpants
Cayenne's don't have great resale - the Macan won't change that.

The Macan is pretty small inside. It can't tow 7700 lbs. It doesn't have the ground clearance that the Cayenne does for off-roading, or even handling deep snow. I like it, but it's just too small for me. My cayenne's trunk space is barely adequate.
I am thinking the same.
Old 06-08-2015, 04:33 PM
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dasams
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Originally Posted by wrinkledpants
My cayenne's trunk space is barely adequate.
^ What he said
Old 06-08-2015, 05:34 PM
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gnat
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Another vote for "why did they take the utility out of SUV" vote here. Damn that D-Pillar!

I think there is probably some that previously got a Cayenne that would instead now get a Macan (all other things still being equal), but they are definitely two different vehicles with different purposes.

From what I've seen of the numbers since the Macan went on sale while it is doing well, the Cayenne is still strong. There was a dip in the beginning, but that is more likely because it was the end of the 2014 958s and everyone knew the 958.2 was coming shortly.

I like the idea of the Macan, but they made it even less utility than the Cayenne is in my opinion.
Old 06-08-2015, 09:00 PM
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touareg
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I am not sure of the sales numbers of Cayennes, but I read that the Macan is pretty much sold out in the US, and the only ones left are demo models, and dealers have been instructed not to sell those, to customer disappointment!

Have not heard that about the Cayennes!

When I went to the unveiling of the Macan at the dealer, 4 of the 5 they had allocated were sold on the spot.

Depends what you are looking for in an SUV, the decision to drop low range in the Cayenne , shows the typical costumer is not interested in off road or 4x4, just a larger car that is bigger than a car and not a minivan or a pickup.
Old 06-08-2015, 09:50 PM
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carcommander
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I drove a Macan Turbo last week it's a lot softer than my '13 GTS. Almost no steering feel. Try before you buy.
Old 06-09-2015, 07:48 AM
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GDF
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I think it already has taken sales from the Cayenne. I don't think the Cayenne is selling that well in my area, but the Macan definitely is.
Old 06-09-2015, 09:13 AM
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gnat
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Originally Posted by touareg
I am not sure of the sales numbers of Cayennes, but I read that the Macan is pretty much sold out in the US, and the only ones left are demo models, and dealers have been instructed not to sell those, to customer disappointment! Have not heard that about the Cayennes!
That is more due to limited supply that some massive demand. I pulled the 2013 to current numbers last night (trying to post the info from my iPad isn't working well) and other than the last few months and the first month the Macan sales have broken 1000 units. I believe the recent up tick is due to more capacity on the line (removal of artificial limits?).

During the same time the Cayenne sales have been a bit soft year over year, but not terribly so. The really soft period seems to be leading up to the release/delivery of the .2. During the 1/2013 period to 5/2105, the Cayenne only dipped below 1000 twice (10/2014 & 12/2014) and the Macan did not see a corresponding up tick at the same time.

All the numbers are available from PCNA's Press site. The numbers are released at the beginning of each month.

Edit: And now from a real computer!

These are pulled from the PCNA monthly sales reports pulled from the press website:

Code:
                2013              2014              2015    
         Cayenne    Macan  Cayenne    Macan  Cayenne    Macan
January    1,500        0    1,158        0    1,086      796
February   1,173        0    1,260        0    1,046      624
March      1,508        0    1,862        0    1,364    1,180
April      1,750        0    1,839        0    1,773    1,537
May        1,765        0    1,294    1,263    1,392    1,046
June       1,823        0    1,300      763
July       1,563        0    1,546      952
August     1,435        0    1,485      969
September  1,396        0    1,196      702
October    1,669        0      712      741
November   1,546        0    1,619      987
December   1,379        0      934      864
I think those numbers lend credence to the idea that Porsche artificially created demand by limiting the first year's production numbers. The last few months, I think, also show that far from cannibalizing the P!g buyers, it appears to be creating a market of it's own within the brand. Time will tell if that is true or if that is just the backside of the the initial hype/demand.

Last edited by gnat; 06-09-2015 at 10:30 AM.
Old 06-09-2015, 10:56 AM
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jpru2001
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Originally Posted by wrinkledpants
My cayenne's trunk space is barely adequate.

lol my only disappointment in my cayenne was that I had to turn my golf clubs diagonally to squeeze them into the trunk.
Old 06-09-2015, 11:54 AM
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Evogelpohl
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Brilliant. Thanks all. -E
Old 06-09-2015, 12:54 PM
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timwu12
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Originally Posted by Evogelpohl
I’m scouring the car sale inter-webs for a ’11-’13 Cayenne Turbo (Premium Plus + Pano + <30K miles + not black interior + not white exterior). New to the Porsche SUV family (former 987 owner).

Curious … If, as one might hypothesize, the Macan Turbo (similar options) is a substitute for this era Cayenne Turbo (upright SUV-style, same 0-60); would you expect resale to fall ever more steeply for the CT as Macan’s enter the used market?

Asked another way, will the C. Turbo have its own market supporting its resale, unique & distinct from the Macan Turbo market?

Thoughts?
....There is no substitute!!
Old 06-09-2015, 02:25 PM
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KWP1911
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Originally Posted by wrinkledpants
Cayenne's don't have great resale - the Macan won't change that.

The Macan is pretty small inside. It can't tow 7700 lbs. It doesn't have the ground clearance that the Cayenne does for off-roading, or even handling deep snow. I like it, but it's just too small for me. My cayenne's trunk space is barely adequate.
Exactly. I looked the Macan before buying the Cayenne.

We can barely fit our tailgating stuff in the Cayenne. No way I could work with the Macan.

Different markets, if you ask me.
Old 06-09-2015, 05:46 PM
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SteveFromMN
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I also looked at the Macan before buying my 2015 Cayenne S. Too small not a good replacement for my 4Runner. Let's face it the Macan is a modern station wagon. Not that there is anything wrong with that but not what I need. The dealer needed to show a customer an S and they didn't have one so they borrowed mine and let me drive a Panamera for a day. I did not like that car. So there is something for everyone and Porsche is trying to get every slice of the market they can. Seems like they are doing OK.
Old 06-09-2015, 07:47 PM
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mudman2
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Did the same no good to me, not practical because of size, looking for a 13 turbo now


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